NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	7.5 [247]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +22.0%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	1.5 [96]		LVP	Dylan Cardwell (SAC): -12.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reed Sheppard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.04
Amen Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.00	17	67%	0.30	5	-0.22	12	75%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.02	0.07	18	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.06	-0.04	20	41%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.08
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	13	69%	0.22	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.11	-0.04	12	60%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	12	62%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	64%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	11	35%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.1	26.4	0.0	33.9	0.0	38.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +39.2%

HOU -12.0%

SAC +10.5%

SAC +15.7%

HOU -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	14.2	110.1	126.1	113.5
season	15.5	14.3		115.9	107.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		118.8	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.4	16.5	17.2	15.0	16.7
SAC	16.4	14.1	14.8	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-13	13	17.5	14.4	3.10	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Dorian Finney-Smith	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-12	11	17.9	15.6	2.33	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Reed Sheppard	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-9	5	17.9	14.6	3.29	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Steven Adams	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-7	1	17.9	12.6	5.26	15.8	15.4	0.42
Kevin Durant	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	16.5	19.4	-2.91	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Aaron Holiday	88	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	0	-13	16.9	1.0	15.91	15.7	0.0	15.75
Alperen Sengun	87	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	-2	-9	17.1	2.0	15.07	15.7	0.0	15.75
Amen Thompson	89	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	0	-13	16.7	0.0	16.73	15.7	0.0	15.75
Jabari Smith Jr.	88	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	0	-13	16.9	1.0	15.91	15.7	0.0	15.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	85	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	2	9	15.8	14.3	1.47	17.2	7.0	10.19
DeMar DeRozan	88	88	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	0	13	15.7	0.0	15.75	16.9	1.0	15.91
Malik Monk	88	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.7	0.0	15.75	16.7	0.0	16.73
Maxime Raynaud	59	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	0	13	15.4	16.4	-0.94	16.6	17.1	-0.50
Russell Westbrook	87	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	2	9	15.7	19.0	-3.29	16.7	18.3	-1.66
Dylan Cardwell	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	8	-3	15.5	16.8	-1.36	17.7	13.4	4.30
Nique Clifford	65	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	11	-9	15.7	16.0	-0.28	17.7	13.6	4.07
Zach LaVine	73	71	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	13	-13	15.4	17.3	-1.83	17.9	12.3	5.58
Drew Eubanks	31	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	12	-11	16.1	15.6	0.49	18.4	15.8	2.60
Keon Ellis	25	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	16.2	15.6	0.57	18.0	16.2	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.62,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	93.5%
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.5%
CLE 79, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1	93.3%