inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement7.7 [230] MVPAnthony Edwards (MIN): +40.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 104 Comeback27.8 [50] LVPStephon Castle (SAS): -18.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.24,0.140.050.09-0.011159%0.151-0.0100%0.00
Keldon Johnson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.02883%0.141-0.032100%0.01
Julian Champagnie0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.00-0.02967%0.111-0.013100%0.01
Lindy Waters III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.130.06-0.061932%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Victor Wembanyama-0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.2,00.14-0.18-0.031863%-0.0110.0010100%0.13
Luke Kornet-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.060.04-0.090.00475%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dylan Harper-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.0250%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.22-0.00-0.041134%-0.037-0.151070%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.40.400.050.32-0.042149%0.4000.00540%-0.04
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.150.150.030.11-0.01960%0.171-0.022100%0.01
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.05-0.021659%0.152-0.0300%0.00
Julius Randle0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.07-0.041144%0.102-0.031258%-0.02
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011100%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.02856%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Jaylen Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01420%-0.0400.0020%-0.04
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.030.031847%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.60.028.00.027.20.044.20.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +60.9%
SAS -14.2%
SAS -11.8%
MIN +12.5%
MIN +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game14.214.414.2104.0102.0113.5
season13.813.9115.8115.5
opponent14.114.5111.6110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.313.815.016.014.2
MIN14.815.614.412.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindy Waters III56580.21-0.710.920.152-3514.214.3-0.0814.214.7-0.47
Keldon Johnson92950.19-0.690.880.103-4714.116.3-2.2314.316.0-1.71
Harrison Barnes82870.09-0.590.680.003-4713.915.6-1.7314.712.81.89
Stephon Castle79820.08-0.580.660.11-10-114.014.9-0.9214.613.70.82
Kelly Olynyk990.02-0.520.530.020-1110.814.6-3.7817.014.22.84
Dylan Harper65640.01-0.510.510.15-54-913.016.6-3.6213.915.3-1.40
Victor Wembanyama8184-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.605-61114.313.90.3314.912.32.59
De'Aaron Fox99102-0.500.00-0.50-0.47-10-114.20.014.2114.40.014.41
Luke Kornet8587-0.710.21-0.93-0.51-76-1313.816.6-2.7514.414.30.09
Julian Champagnie8891-0.810.31-1.12-0.43-1312-2514.015.9-1.9114.117.0-2.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden McDaniels84820.76-0.261.020.4710-91914.215.2-0.9814.015.2-1.24
Donte DiVincenzo87830.51-0.010.530.54-12-314.712.81.8913.915.6-1.69
Julius Randle101990.51-0.010.510.4810114.53.011.5214.20.014.21
Anthony Edwards97930.500.000.490.4710114.512.02.5414.214.5-0.31
Naz Reid94910.330.170.150.069-81714.315.6-1.3214.115.2-1.13
Bones Hyland49480.140.36-0.22-0.2413-122513.615.2-1.5414.314.10.19
Rudy Gobert94920.110.39-0.280.1101-114.711.43.3014.214.00.23
Jaylen Clark4747-0.270.77-1.040.02-1011-2115.113.81.2513.414.9-1.46
Mike Conley6464-0.350.85-1.19-0.02-1112-2315.213.02.2113.216.0-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.66,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 96, TOR 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.27,191.4%
POR 119, PHI 1200.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.28,0.57,0.41,190.8%
LAL 99, DEN 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.32,0.27,190.6%