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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Excitement7.1 [423] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +41.6%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback20.5 [168] LVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): -11.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.370.100.24-0.031958%0.412-0.05771%-0.01
D'Angelo Russell0.220,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.220.090.130.011672%0.314-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Davis0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.170.000.011976%0.244-0.084100%0.01
Taurean Prince0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.003100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rui Hachimura-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.02719%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Gabe Vincent-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Austin Reaves-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011141%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.23,0.420.42-0.080.48-0.012440%0.592-0.182100%0.07
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.36,0.360.360.200.200.041385%0.3600.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.130.100.021669%0.283-0.087100%0.05
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.001058%0.071-0.024100%0.03
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00856%0.0300.0020%-0.04
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.01425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.0150%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.01737%-0.052-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.728.316.432.53.531.4139.9
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +5.5%
DEN +19.4%
DEN +21.4%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.715.114.5105.3108.6113.9
season14.115.0114.4116.2
opponent14.614.3111.6114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL13.213.817.219.315.7
DEN15.016.913.315.015.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taurean Prince41400.13-0.630.770.072-4615.515.9-0.3716.314.12.27
Jaxson Hayes1112-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-1018.715.33.3816.014.91.09
Gabe Vincent2929-0.03-0.470.440.15-64-1016.415.50.9214.315.4-1.08
Spencer Dinwiddie1919-0.13-0.370.250.14-97-1616.515.50.9815.415.00.40
Austin Reaves6665-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.535-71215.416.5-1.0814.716.0-1.30
LeBron James7474-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.502-4615.915.00.8814.915.7-0.79
D'Angelo Russell7675-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.604-61015.616.2-0.5215.413.61.79
Anthony Davis7877-0.510.01-0.51-0.510-2215.417.5-2.1214.716.6-1.82
Rui Hachimura7674-0.650.15-0.81-0.45-75-1215.616.6-1.0014.915.7-0.79

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray75770.500.000.490.56-24-615.314.01.3115.915.10.84
Aaron Gordon78770.450.050.400.57-46-1014.915.8-0.8916.014.81.20
Nikola Jokic79820.450.050.390.4211015.015.4-0.4415.418.1-2.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope68690.420.080.330.53-46-1015.015.1-0.0415.716.0-0.29
Michael Porter Jr.75760.370.130.250.49-46-1015.015.3-0.3515.317.7-2.38
Peyton Watson23230.210.29-0.08-0.1111-92015.215.00.1616.715.41.32
Christian Braun25250.080.42-0.33-0.096-41015.115.00.0416.015.70.29
Justin Holiday24240.020.48-0.46-0.0420215.814.81.0516.715.41.29
Reggie Jackson18170.000.50-0.49-0.114-2614.015.3-1.3115.115.9-0.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.32,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 92, PHI 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.26,192.2%
TOR 103, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.26,192.1%
NJN 93, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.31,192.1%