NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	7.8 [339]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +31.9%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	26.8 [99]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -18.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	13	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	10	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.12	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	37%	0.10	5	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	19	49%	0.08	6	-0.27	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.32	0.32	-0.06	0.37	-0.01	17	32%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	23	51%	0.07	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	7	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	1	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.08	0.05	8	39%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	26.2	15.4	28.6	1.5	38.2	137.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -27.4%

IND -2.3%

IND -11.1%

TOR +70.3%

TOR +20.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.3	98.0	101.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.3		108.4	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.6		105.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	14.2	14.9	16.3	14.9
TOR	13.3	15.2	15.1	14.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-2	1	13.5	15.5	-2.04	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Thaddeus Young	67	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-9	15	16.0	12.7	3.28	15.2	12.7	2.41
Cory Joseph	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	5	-13	14.7	15.1	-0.42	14.7	14.3	0.39
Myles Turner	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.52	10	-13	23	13.8	16.2	-2.42	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	11	-25	15.8	13.9	1.85	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Bojan Bogdanovic	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.5	15.9	-1.41	14.4	14.7	-0.38
Doug McDermott	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	3	-9	15.0	14.8	0.18	12.9	15.4	-2.53
Darren Collison	63	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-3	3	14.8	15.1	-0.22	14.4	14.6	-0.27
Victor Oladipo	71	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	15.3	14.0	1.27	14.9	13.2	1.74

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-1	5	14.8	13.9	0.95	14.7	15.3	-0.53
Pascal Siakam	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.7	13.1	2.59
Kawhi Leonard	77	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-4	11	14.8	13.2	1.57	15.1	14.4	0.62
Danny Green	56	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	-3	9	14.6	14.3	0.32	15.7	13.8	1.87
CJ Miles	16	16	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	2	-1	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.3	15.0	-0.72
OG Anunoby	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	0	3	13.4	15.4	-1.97	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Lorenzo Brown	12	12	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-5	13	15.7	14.3	1.46	21.0	14.1	6.93
Malachi Richardson	10	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	2	-1	12.8	14.7	-1.86	13.2	15.1	-1.96
Norman Powell	30	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	14.8	14.3	0.52	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Chris Boucher	22	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	14.9	14.3	0.57	13.8	15.2	-1.34
Delon Wright	45	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.15	0	3	-3	14.0	14.9	-0.95	15.3	14.6	0.77
Greg Monroe	45	46	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	12	-21	14.8	14.2	0.65	13.7	16.0	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1	93.9%
TOR 83, NYK 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.57,0.27,1	91.9%
UTA 86, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.27,1	91.9%