NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	7.2 [379]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +39.3%
New York Knicks	84		Comeback	25.7 [51]		LVP	Dee Brown (TOR): -25.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.12,0.12	-0.07	0.17	-0.01	7	35%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	64%	0.05	5	-0.11	16	81%	0.08
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	11	41%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.25	-0.02	-0.24	0.00	1	0%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.09,0.39	0.39	0.07	0.34	0.01	16	62%	0.41	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.07
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	11	64%	-0.08
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	0.00	8	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	14	29%	-0.14	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	5	0%	-0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	32.7	19.7	34.5	2.8	46.4	166.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.1%

TOR -10.0%

NYK +15.9%

NYK +12.2%

TOR -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.2	96.5	96.6	101.7
season	15.5	16.1		101.8	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.9		98.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	15.4	16.7	20.5	17.1
NYK	17.1	15.2	15.3	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	32	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.15	1	-2	3	17.2	17.0	0.22	14.4	17.3	-2.92
John Thomas	2	1	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-3	5	8.0	17.3	-9.30	13.0	16.3	-3.26
Kevin Willis	59	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.15	-6	5	-11	17.5	16.1	1.47	15.4	18.0	-2.63
Dee Brown	7	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-4	7	13.9	17.4	-3.51	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Dell Curry	7	7	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-3	5	16.0	17.2	-1.18	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Charles Oakley	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	3	-7	17.5	16.0	1.48	16.0	16.8	-0.74
Antonio Davis	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-7	13	16.4	18.0	-1.60	17.6	14.5	3.05
Muggsy Bogues	67	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	5	-11	17.5	15.6	1.86	16.6	14.8	1.82
Tracy McGrady	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.55	0	-1	1	17.0	17.5	-0.49	16.5	15.1	1.44
Vince Carter	76	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	17.1	16.6	0.54	16.8	12.4	4.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	67	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-13	27	15.6	18.3	-2.70	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Chris Childs	52	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.46	9	-8	17	15.6	17.1	-1.50	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Patrick Ewing	57	56	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	-3	7	16.3	16.0	0.28	16.8	17.6	-0.85
Latrell Sprewell	83	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	15.9	22.7	-6.85	17.1	17.0	0.08
Allan Houston	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.54	-4	5	-9	16.3	16.1	0.19	16.3	20.2	-3.93
Kurt Thomas	27	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	3	-5	16.2	16.2	-0.05	18.7	16.4	2.31
Charlie Ward	35	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	9	-17	17.1	15.6	1.50	17.6	16.8	0.80
Larry Johnson	43	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	12	-23	17.6	14.8	2.79	17.9	16.2	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.27,1	91.9%
BOS 91, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.59,0.57,1	91.8%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	91.8%