NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	119		Excitement	7.3 [467]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +36.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	120		Comeback	51.1 [82]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -15.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.28	-0.01	0.03	22	76%	0.24	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	8	52%	0.15	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.22
Jerami Grant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	-0.00	0.03	13	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Drew Eubanks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	58%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nassir Little	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.09,-0.12,0.01,-0.15	0.06	-0.22	-0.01	15	58%	0.14	2	-0.29	8	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.29	0.07	20	67%	0.56	4	-0.19	18	72%	0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.19	0.01	8	72%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	108%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	14	58%	0.24	2	-0.20	5	100%	0.03
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.2	14.8	25.0	1.8	41.2	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.4%

PHI +23.4%

POR -0.4%

POR -4.0%

PHI +13.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	14.4	124.0	126.3	113.4
season	14.7	15.2		113.4	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.3	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	12.5	15.7	16.5	15.0
PHI	14.5	16.3	15.6	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	47	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	9	-19	15.4	14.7	0.71	12.9	17.2	-4.35
Matisse Thybulle	41	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-15	29	13.6	16.1	-2.46	17.1	13.9	3.18
Nassir Little	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.9	0.59	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Shaedon Sharpe	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.38	-19	18	-37	16.4	14.2	2.25	11.6	17.3	-5.72
Jerami Grant	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.53	7	-8	15	14.6	17.7	-3.12	15.7	11.5	4.16
Anfernee Simons	54	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	2	-5	16.1	13.7	2.37	15.9	14.0	1.89
Damian Lillard	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.52	3	-4	7	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.3	14.4	0.89
Jusuf Nurkic	49	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.76	9	-10	19	14.7	15.4	-0.71	17.2	12.9	4.35
Cam Reddish	73	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.6	16.3	-1.69	14.7	16.5	-1.77

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	47	49	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.48	11	-10	21	13.9	16.4	-2.50	15.3	14.7	0.54
Georges Niang	48	47	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.02	23	-22	45	13.1	17.2	-4.11	15.7	14.4	1.25
Joel Embiid	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	-1	3	15.2	14.8	0.42	15.0	15.0	0.03
James Harden	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.58	-3	4	-7	15.9	11.9	4.05	15.2	14.5	0.68
Danuel House Jr.	15	15	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-10	21	11.4	15.8	-4.44	17.1	14.6	2.42
Tyrese Maxey	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.40	-1	2	-3	15.7	13.5	2.25	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Shake Milton	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	-1	3	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.9	15.0	-0.18
Jalen McDaniels	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	0	1	12.7	15.9	-3.19	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Paul Reed	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	2	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Tobias Harris	46	48	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.29	-22	23	-45	17.2	13.2	3.95	14.3	15.7	-1.37
P.J. Tucker	39	39	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.09	-18	19	-37	17.8	13.3	4.51	14.5	15.4	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.28,0.57,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	93.8%
VAN 110, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	92.3%
POR 105, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	92.2%