NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	8.2 [199]		MVP	Rick Fox (BOS): +41.8%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	26.7 [51]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -22.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.27	0.00	0.25	-0.01	15	60%	0.34	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	17	63%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.13,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	14	70%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.22	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.22	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	15	39%	-0.15	4	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.42	0.42	0.18	0.28	0.05	22	72%	0.45	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.24,0.37	0.37	0.02	0.34	-0.01	16	56%	0.42	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Steve Hamer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	15	57%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.05	-0.02	22	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	27.3	15.2	24.3	2.5	31.6	125.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.9%

BOS +11.6%

POR -1.8%

BOS +26.5%

POR -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	15.6	101.9	109.9	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		105.2	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.5		109.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	15.0	14.2	17.2	15.1
BOS	14.0	15.0	11.0	12.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Brown	14	12	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-11	16	17.4	14.7	2.69	15.6	12.8	2.81
Jermaine O'Neal	39	36	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-11	16	15.0	15.2	-0.13	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Stacey Augmon	20	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	15.1	15.1	0.05	13.8	12.9	0.86
Mitchell Butler	12	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-5	4	16.1	15.0	1.11	15.0	12.8	2.20
Chris Dudley	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	15.8	14.7	1.08	13.0	13.2	-0.10
Gary Trent	74	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.6	16.4	-1.77	12.9	13.6	-0.72
Clifford Robinson	92	92	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	-1	-4	14.9	16.5	-1.61	13.0	13.8	-0.73
Isaiah Rider	82	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	4	-14	15.2	14.6	0.67	12.9	13.8	-0.85
Dontonio Wingfield	52	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.50	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.0	0.21	13.2	13.0	0.18
Kenny Anderson	89	89	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	5	-16	14.7	17.4	-2.69	12.8	15.6	-2.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	86	88	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-4	14	12.9	14.2	-1.28	15.3	14.2	1.06
David Wesley	89	90	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	12.9	14.7	-1.77	15.2	14.2	1.09
Rick Fox	95	97	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-3	12	12.7	19.0	-6.26	15.0	17.0	-2.01
Eric Williams	89	90	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	13.1	13.2	-0.16	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Antoine Walker	94	96	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	3	0	13.3	10.1	3.19	14.9	17.6	-2.64
Steve Hamer	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	15.5	12.8	2.73	17.5	14.8	2.71
Alton Lister	32	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	7	-8	13.7	12.9	0.80	16.2	14.6	1.54
Brett Szabo	9	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	15	-24	13.9	13.0	0.86	9.3	15.7	-6.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,1	92.7%
VAN 110, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	91.8%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	91.7%