NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	8.9 [130]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +25.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	17.2 [25]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -30.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26	0.16	0.09	-0.01	20	68%	0.29	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Reed Sheppard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	21	48%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	62%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.12,-0.12	0.03	-0.11	0.04	17	57%	0.07	3	-0.19	8	75%	-0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.31	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.23,-0.31	-0.14	-0.16	0.01	21	30%	-0.27	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	4	118%	0.34	1	-0.11	3	100%	0.06
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.04	0.16	-0.04	15	53%	0.27	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.10
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	13	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.05	0.04	16	74%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	22	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yang Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.0	35.1	0.0	27.1	0.0	35.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.3%

POR +38.0%

HOU -8.5%

HOU -2.0%

HOU -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	14.2	107.1	114.4	113.6
season	15.4	13.9		117.3	111.8
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.4	15.0	15.5	15.3
POR	15.3	14.6	14.4	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	44	45	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.09	9	-15	24	15.4	15.1	0.30	14.4	14.1	0.39
Tari Eason	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-5	4	16.1	14.7	1.45	14.3	14.2	0.18
Dorian Finney-Smith	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	0	-6	15.7	14.6	1.12	14.7	13.6	1.13
Reed Sheppard	92	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.5	11.3	4.19	14.2	16.2	-2.10
Jabari Smith Jr.	98	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.3	0.0	15.27	14.2	0.0	14.24
Amen Thompson	98	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.3	0.0	15.27	14.2	0.0	14.24
Josh Okogie	92	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	15.9	6.2	9.69	14.5	11.0	3.45
Kevin Durant	94	94	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	15.4	11.2	4.19	14.0	21.0	-6.98
Steven Adams	82	81	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	9	-24	16.2	10.7	5.47	14.3	13.9	0.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sidy Cissoko	51	52	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.31	24	-18	42	13.1	15.5	-2.36	15.8	14.7	1.11
Donovan Clingan	87	87	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-10	26	13.8	18.1	-4.31	15.7	12.1	3.58
Shaedon Sharpe	94	94	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	14.0	21.0	-6.98	15.4	11.2	4.19
Deni Avdija	93	95	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-1	8	14.2	14.7	-0.53	15.4	11.0	4.40
Toumani Camara	97	97	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	14.2	0.0	14.24	15.4	3.0	12.39
Duop Reath	48	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	14.0	14.5	-0.51	15.6	15.0	0.57
Caleb Love	95	97	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	2	2	14.5	3.0	11.47	15.4	1.0	14.41
Robert Williams III	42	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	14.7	13.9	0.76	15.9	14.8	1.14
Yang Hansen	59	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.20	1	5	-4	14.3	14.1	0.22	16.3	13.8	2.43
Rayan Rupert	64	63	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.03	-14	20	-34	14.7	13.4	1.32	15.7	14.4	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	90.0%
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	89.7%
UTA 85, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	89.6%