NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	7.4 [257]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (BOS): +19.4%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	3.5 [90]		LVP	Hugo Gonz�lez (BOS): -15.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	9	70%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	9	48%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Peyton Watson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	15	79%	0.22	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.00
Jalen Pickett	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0.08	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	55%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Spencer Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DaRon Holmes II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	9	83%	0.27	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	5	110%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.10	13	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	0.05	29	54%	0.01	7	-0.15	3	33%	-0.04
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	19	45%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	4	30%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.4	14.3	28.1	2.4	40.1	137.9
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +43.9%

DEN +19.0%

BOS -28.1%

DEN +19.8%

BOS -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BOS	NBA	DEN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	14.2	120.0	117.0	113.5
season	14.8	15.4		119.6	119.3
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.0	116.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.8	15.2	16.0	13.8	15.2
BOS	14.6	15.5	14.6	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Pickett	40	41	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-3	10	14.7	15.6	-0.84	16.1	14.6	1.51
Christian Braun	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-5	14	14.9	16.1	-1.15	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Peyton Watson	92	91	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Zeke Nnaji	85	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	-1	6	15.4	13.7	1.69	15.3	14.6	0.70
Jamal Murray	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.2	0.0	15.21	15.2	0.0	15.22
Aaron Gordon	93	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-2	8	15.5	3.5	11.96	15.3	6.0	9.32
Tim Hardaway Jr.	94	94	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	15.3	6.0	9.31	15.2	0.0	15.22
Spencer Jones	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	16.1	15.0	1.12	13.8	15.6	-1.72
DaRon Holmes II	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	15.8	15.0	0.84	14.3	15.6	-1.35
Bruce Brown	55	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	15.9	14.3	1.62	15.0	15.6	-0.61

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	15.3	14.2	1.15	15.5	13.3	2.15
Hugo Gonz�lez	75	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-2	0	15.5	14.1	1.40	15.7	13.1	2.66
Anfernee Simons	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	6	-16	16.4	12.2	4.19	16.1	13.0	3.10
Derrick White	89	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	7	-18	15.6	8.2	7.42	16.0	3.5	12.50
Sam Hauser	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.0	0.22	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Jaylen Brown	81	80	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.15	-14	10	-24	15.6	12.9	2.67	16.0	10.9	5.08
Neemias Queta	81	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.27	-13	9	-22	15.5	13.5	2.04	15.4	14.3	1.08
Payton Pritchard	85	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	4	-12	15.0	16.9	-1.84	15.2	15.0	0.23
Baylor Scheierman	41	41	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.6	1.51	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Jordan Walsh	60	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	7	-18	15.7	14.4	1.36	15.4	14.9	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.13,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 112, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.1%
PHX 140, DEN 130	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0	92.4%
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.4%