NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	140		Excitement	7.4 [376]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +42.1%
Denver Nuggets	130		Comeback	4.9 [257]		LVP	JaMychal Green (DEN): -10.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.24	0.19	0.01	9	105%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Devin Booker	0.41	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.34	0.11	0.04	25	73%	0.45	2	-0.05	17	88%	0.06
Cameron Payne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	71%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	71%	0.13	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	13	66%	0.19	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	16	64%	0.21	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	10	77%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.12	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	10	90%	0.27	8	-0.24	11	82%	0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	71%	0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	26.2	14.6	29.3	0.2	35.5	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +13.4%

PHX +6.1%

DEN -1.3%

PHX +35.7%

DEN -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.5	138.6	132.7	110.8
season	14.2	14.8		114.0	113.4
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.6	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	16.3	14.0	14.6	14.8
DEN	15.6	13.0	13.7	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	35	38	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-5	20	15.3	14.6	0.67	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Devin Booker	83	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	14.5	16.2	-1.64	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Mikal Bridges	80	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	14.6	15.6	-1.01	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Deandre Ayton	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	14.4	15.7	-1.23	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Jae Crowder	63	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	14.6	15.2	-0.58	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Torrey Craig	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	5	0	15.9	14.2	1.71	14.0	14.2	-0.14
Bismack Biyombo	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	15.4	14.8	0.68	17.3	13.7	3.55
Landry Shamet	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	10	-10	15.2	14.6	0.58	15.1	13.5	1.51
JaVale McGee	22	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	15.8	14.6	1.22	13.9	14.2	-0.20
Chris Paul	66	60	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	15	-20	14.6	15.3	-0.67	14.3	13.8	0.44

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	28	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-15	20	15.1	13.7	1.34	16.6	14.1	2.58
Davon Reed	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-12	14	15.3	13.7	1.68	16.2	14.3	1.98
JaMychal Green	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-12	14	15.0	13.5	1.58	16.2	13.9	2.32
Bones Hyland	49	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-9	8	14.1	14.2	-0.10	15.5	14.1	1.36
Will Barton	66	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	13.0	16.4	-3.45	14.1	16.2	-2.11
Austin Rivers	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	16.4	12.8	3.64	15.7	14.3	1.40
Jeff Green	49	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	14.0	14.2	-0.14	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Monte Morris	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	4	-18	13.8	14.5	-0.64	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Aaron Gordon	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	13.3	16.1	-2.84	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Nikola Jokic	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	13.7	15.1	-1.34	14.1	16.6	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.29,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.01,0,0	93.4%
CLE 121, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	93.3%
DET 94, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	92.5%