NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	7.4 [380]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +34.0%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	3.8 [581]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -16.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3	0.26	0.08	0.04	19	77%	0.35	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.00
George Hill	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	11	71%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.02	12	62%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Rodney Hood	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	61%	0.13	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Holland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
JR Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	6	25%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.29	0.05	0.00	14	100%	0.38	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.09	0.06	11	55%	-0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	30.4	14.4	26.3	1.8	30.0	129.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.5%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +4.8%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.7	123.5	116.3	107.5
season	14.8	14.7		111.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.5	12.0	13.5	16.9	13.8
BKN	14.7	15.7	14.7	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-10	27	13.8	13.9	-0.08	16.0	14.7	1.21
George Hill	76	74	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.29	13	-6	19	14.3	12.2	2.05	15.7	15.2	0.43
Rodney Hood	67	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	1	5	14.0	13.4	0.68	15.7	15.3	0.34
Jordan Clarkson	56	56	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-1	9	14.1	13.4	0.76	15.9	15.1	0.83
LeBron James	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-4	15	14.1	12.6	1.53	14.9	18.2	-3.21
Jose Calderon	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.15	4	3	1	13.5	14.0	-0.48	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Tristan Thompson	30	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	11	-15	13.0	14.2	-1.13	15.7	15.5	0.17
John Holland	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	12	-17	12.8	13.9	-1.05	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Larry Nance Jr.	37	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	12	-17	13.5	14.0	-0.53	15.0	15.9	-0.92
JR Smith	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.10	-10	17	-27	12.8	14.5	-1.61	16.2	15.2	0.97

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	47	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-7	7	15.6	15.5	0.09	12.8	14.7	-1.95
DeMarre Carroll	70	68	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-11	15	15.3	16.3	-1.00	14.0	13.3	0.74
Caris LeVert	51	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	15.4	15.7	-0.29	12.9	14.8	-1.91
Joe Harris	54	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-15	23	15.3	15.9	-0.53	14.3	13.2	1.12
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-5	3	16.3	14.8	1.51	12.7	15.0	-2.27
Dante Cunningham	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	15.9	15.3	0.64	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Allen Crabbe	57	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	5	-17	15.0	16.3	-1.28	14.6	12.8	1.80
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	66	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	5	-17	15.3	16.1	-0.82	14.3	12.6	1.70
D'Angelo Russell	51	53	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.21	-18	11	-29	16.2	14.9	1.38	14.5	13.0	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.7%
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.6%
PHX 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	91.6%