NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	6.2 [545]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +13.3%
Denver Nuggets	75		Comeback	3.1 [453]		LVP	Nikoloz Tskitishvili (DEN): -19.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	91%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	23	55%	0.11	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0	75%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	15	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	8	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	4	67%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Savovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	20	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	14	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	5	0%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.7	27.0	17.6	26.4	2.7	31.5	137.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.9%

NYK +24.5%

DEN -20.0%

NYK +13.6%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	16.9	16.1	15.5	95.4	85.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.7		102.6	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	17.0	19.4	14.5	16.9
DEN	16.0	16.5	14.9	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	44	45	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.26	19	-11	30	15.7	18.0	-2.32	16.6	15.5	1.18
Travis Knight	28	28	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-8	24	15.1	17.7	-2.62	18.6	14.9	3.67
Shandon Anderson	36	36	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	16.1	17.4	-1.26	17.8	14.8	2.99
Michael Doleac	30	30	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	-6	20	15.8	17.4	-1.65	18.2	15.0	3.23
Allan Houston	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	17.0	14.6	2.39	16.1	15.2	0.92
Clar. Weatherspoon	57	58	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	14	-20	17.4	15.8	1.65	15.0	18.2	-3.23
Latrell Sprewell	56	57	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	15	-22	17.1	16.4	0.77	14.9	18.3	-3.38
Kurt Thomas	59	60	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	16	-24	17.7	15.1	2.62	14.9	18.6	-3.67
Howard Eisley	43	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	19	-30	18.0	15.7	2.32	15.5	16.6	-1.18

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	7	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	14.4	16.2	-1.78	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Junior Harrington	56	55	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-13	18	14.8	18.3	-3.58	17.5	15.7	1.79
Vincent Yarbrough	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-6	4	18.0	15.5	2.46	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Marcus Camby	50	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-12	16	15.1	17.4	-2.29	16.8	16.9	-0.13
Predrag Savovic	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	19.5	15.7	3.77	14.2	17.1	-2.86
Nene	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	16.7	15.2	1.48	17.8	15.4	2.43
Donnell Harvey	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	18.1	15.3	2.77	16.8	16.9	-0.07
Rodney White	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-10	12	14.9	18.8	-3.83	17.4	15.6	1.81
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	15.7	16.6	-0.86	16.5	17.4	-0.92
Shammond Williams	32	32	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	18.3	14.8	3.58	15.7	17.5	-1.79
Juwan Howard	75	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	6	-20	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.9	16.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	93.0%
NYK 107, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.5%
POR 112, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	92.5%