NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	77		Excitement	7.4 [311]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (NJN): +17.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Comeback	2.4 [142]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -22.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	19	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.09	-0.01	23	43%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jack Haley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	7	17%	-0.15	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	12	37%	-0.14	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Jayson Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	12	15%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	12	54%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	11	47%	-0.06	3	-0.13	8	50%	-0.12
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	8	40%	-0.07	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	27.5	15.4	29.4	1.7	38.5	137.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -13.9%

NJN +12.5%

NJN +19.3%

NJN +35.5%

CLE -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	18.7	15.0	15.6	89.5	84.7	102.5
season	15.6	15.4		104.9	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.2		97.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.0	16.0	21.1	18.9	18.7
CLE	15.3	16.0	13.8	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	64	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	18.6	19.1	-0.57	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Sam Cassell	29	27	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	0	5	20.6	17.7	2.88	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Xavier McDaniel	33	35	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-3	11	17.3	19.6	-2.23	17.6	13.1	4.55
Jayson Williams	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	19.3	16.3	2.94	14.0	18.6	-4.54
Kerry Kittles	79	77	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	18.7	18.6	0.15	14.5	19.6	-5.16
Jack Haley	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	16.3	19.3	-2.94	18.6	14.0	4.54
Sherman Douglas	71	70	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	5	-5	18.1	21.7	-3.66	14.8	15.6	-0.79
David Benoit	18	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	5	-5	15.6	19.5	-3.92	17.7	14.1	3.59
Michael Cage	50	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	11	-17	20.7	15.9	4.76	13.4	17.0	-3.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.7	1.33	12.3	20.0	-7.67
Danny Ferry	27	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	17.0	14.0	3.05	16.8	19.4	-2.60
Bob Sura	28	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.4	14.2	2.20	15.7	19.9	-4.21
Mitchell Butler	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	2	-9	16.8	14.6	2.24	17.1	19.0	-1.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-11	17	14.6	15.7	-1.17	20.7	15.1	5.59
Shawn Kemp	50	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	14.0	16.3	-2.31	19.7	17.0	2.72
Vitaly Potapenko	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	5	-15	15.9	14.3	1.54	16.9	20.0	-3.12
Derek Anderson	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	14.6	16.8	-2.24	19.0	17.1	1.92
Brevin Knight	57	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-6	7	14.2	16.4	-2.20	19.9	15.7	4.21
Wesley Person	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	14.5	17.9	-3.40	19.2	15.5	3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	93.4%
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	93.0%
LAC 94, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.16,0.05,0	92.9%