NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	7.1 [380]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +27.3%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	2.7 [247]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -19.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.13	0.02	15	70%	0.30	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	-0.00	10	92%	0.23	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02
Donte Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	9	25%	-0.06	3	-0.13	2	50%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	59%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	15	77%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	16%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	13	49%	-0.01	5	-0.17	9	100%	0.06
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	18	35%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.7	28.1	16.8	28.2	1.8	35.5	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +78.9%

DET -13.6%

DET -6.6%

DET -7.1%

DET -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.3	110.8	104.3	106.0
season	15.2	16.8		103.7	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	14.5	18.0	14.1	15.1
DET	16.4	14.9	16.3	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	67	65	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-13	32	15.7	13.6	2.12	16.5	14.3	2.25
Jason Thompson	55	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	15.0	15.3	-0.35	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Kevin Martin	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	4	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.51	15.9	15.8	0.12
Spencer Hawes	51	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	4	-2	16.0	14.0	1.93	16.4	15.3	1.09
Tyreke Evans	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	5	-4	15.6	13.7	1.90	15.6	16.6	-0.96
Andres Nocioni	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	-4	14	14.8	15.4	-0.60	16.7	15.1	1.56
Jon Brockman	7	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	12.3	15.3	-3.05	16.2	15.8	0.33
Ime Udoka	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	11.7	16.4	-4.69	13.2	16.9	-3.70
Sean May	14	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	16.0	14.9	1.05	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Omri Casspi	38	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.02	-3	9	-12	16.6	14.1	2.53	16.4	15.5	0.90
Donte Greene	30	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	12	-18	13.4	15.9	-2.52	16.0	15.8	0.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	15.1	16.3	-1.29	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Jonas Jerebko	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-7	8	16.5	15.2	1.33	16.4	13.7	2.66
Ben Wallace	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-10	14	15.3	16.9	-1.55	15.3	14.6	0.69
Tayshaun Prince	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.4	17.1	-1.69	15.3	14.7	0.62
Charlie Villanueva	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	1	-8	16.0	15.7	0.28	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Jason Maxiell	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	5	-16	16.6	15.4	1.23	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Rodney Stuckey	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-5	4	15.7	16.7	-0.98	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Richard Hamilton	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.6	16.4	-0.80	14.9	15.5	-0.56
Will Bynum	34	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	7	-20	17.4	14.9	2.49	14.6	15.4	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	94.8%
POR 98, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.04,0	94.5%
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	93.4%