NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	11.0 [23]		MVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): +53.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	7.3 [88]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): -24.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.16	-0.02	20	62%	0.44	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.04
Julian Champagnie	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.03	0.03	11	85%	0.20	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	48%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	5	-0.19	4	75%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	4	25%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,0.03,-0.04,-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	18	25%	-0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.54	0.54	0.14	0.40	-0.00	15	64%	0.54	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.00	7	100%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.21
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	16	62%	0.20	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.04
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	10	43%	-0.07	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Javon Small	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	11	31%	-0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.4	28.1	0.0	28.9	0.0	30.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.2%

SAS -16.5%

MEM +27.6%

SAS -20.4%

MEM +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	13.0	14.2	14.2	98.1	101.0	113.6
season	13.9	13.7		115.7	112.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		113.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.0	13.1	13.4	13.5	13.0
MEM	14.1	12.6	14.9	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Wembanyama	89	89	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-5	9	13.3	11.4	1.85	14.4	12.6	1.81
Stephon Castle	93	93	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	13.0	13.1	-0.19	14.3	12.8	1.50
Jordan McLaughlin	16	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	5	-11	15.3	12.6	2.74	15.3	14.0	1.37
Kelly Olynyk	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	10	-21	13.8	12.6	1.20	13.5	14.5	-1.01
Carter Bryant	46	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	7	-15	13.6	12.5	1.14	14.3	14.1	0.20
Harrison Barnes	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	8	-17	13.5	12.5	1.01	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Dylan Harper	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	6	-13	13.8	12.0	1.80	15.0	12.9	2.09
Keldon Johnson	92	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	13.4	10.3	3.16	14.4	12.6	1.84
Julian Champagnie	107	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.0	0.0	12.98	14.2	0.0	14.16
De'Aaron Fox	107	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.0	0.0	12.98	14.2	0.0	14.16
Luke Kornet	95	94	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	3	-7	13.2	10.9	2.33	14.5	11.6	2.82
Jeremy Sochan	51	50	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	8	-17	13.5	12.6	0.90	15.1	13.3	1.75

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	67	68	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-8	17	14.7	13.3	1.37	13.8	11.6	2.19
Vince Williams Jr.	88	91	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-8	17	14.4	13.1	1.25	13.2	11.9	1.30
Jaren Jackson Jr.	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.2	0.0	14.16	13.0	0.0	12.98
Cam Spencer	105	107	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	0	1	14.2	0.0	14.16	13.0	0.0	12.98
Santi Aldama	103	105	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	5	-9	14.1	18.5	-4.42	12.9	15.0	-2.06
Javon Small	78	78	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-5	11	14.5	13.3	1.22	13.6	11.3	2.24
Christian Koloko	78	77	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-3	7	13.8	15.3	-1.48	13.0	12.9	0.16
GG Jackson	68	71	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	14.1	14.4	-0.29	12.9	13.1	-0.11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	87	86	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.10	-1	2	-3	14.5	12.3	2.21	13.3	11.7	1.58
Jaylen Wells	92	94	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.28	-7	8	-15	14.2	13.8	0.36	13.2	11.6	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.54,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.54,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1	90.0%
DEN 103, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	88.9%
WAS 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	88.6%