NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	8.4 [162]		MVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): +45.0%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	4.0 [250]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -26.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.01	11	79%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Chris Whitney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Calbert Cheaney	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.10
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.05
Rod Strickland	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	13	50%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.26	0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	21	30%	-0.18	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.12

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.45	0.45	0.14	0.31	0.00	11	79%	0.45	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	10	60%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,0.13	0.13	-0.07	0.18	-0.02	13	51%	0.33	3	-0.20	9	89%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	14	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	33.2	16.4	26.0	2.0	39.0	143.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +65.6%

WAS -0.5%

WAS -8.4%

WAS -7.6%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	110.9	113.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.1		102.8	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	12.3	17.5	18.7	15.6
BOS	15.5	16.5	14.6	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	13.3	15.7	-2.40	19.0	15.5	3.54
Harvey Grant	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	6	-14	17.1	15.3	1.76	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Tracy Murray	52	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-1	0	15.4	15.8	-0.40	16.2	15.0	1.24
Rod Strickland	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-4	6	15.9	14.1	1.72	15.5	16.5	-0.98
Ben Wallace	26	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	15.4	15.6	-0.21	16.7	15.4	1.36
Chris Whitney	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	2	-6	16.4	14.9	1.44	16.1	15.4	0.73
Chris Webber	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-2	2	15.9	12.6	3.23	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Juwan Howard	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.56	5	-7	12	15.3	18.5	-3.20	15.8	15.2	0.52
Calbert Cheaney	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	7	-16	14.9	18.5	-3.55	14.9	19.2	-4.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	41	42	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	15.6	15.8	-0.26	15.9	15.3	0.52
Ron Mercer	55	56	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	16.7	14.2	2.48	16.2	14.6	1.59
Antoine Walker	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	16.0	14.8	1.20	16.0	14.1	1.89
John Thomas	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-9	20	14.9	16.5	-1.60	15.7	15.5	0.20
Chauncey Billups	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	17.3	13.0	4.28	16.7	13.6	3.11
Andrew DeClercq	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	1	0	16.8	15.0	1.85	17.1	14.5	2.61
Dee Brown	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.00	4	-2	6	14.6	16.2	-1.61	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Dana Barros	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	13.0	17.3	-4.28	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Greg Minor	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	-3	8	15.5	15.8	-0.28	16.4	15.4	0.95
Travis Knight	18	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	15.9	15.7	0.27	12.3	16.3	-4.03
Bruce Bowen	55	56	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	12	-22	15.0	16.9	-1.90	14.0	18.0	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.53,1	91.8%
TOR 83, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.43,0.58,1	91.3%
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	91.0%