NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.9 [147]		MVP	Terry Dehere (VAN): +12.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Comeback	3.2 [287]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -26.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	5	93%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.06	-0.04	24	47%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	6	69%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	16	42%	-0.13	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.08
Sherman Douglas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.15	0.01	12	50%	-0.09	3	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	10	41%	-0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	4	100%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	20	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
J.R. Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	64%	0.09	3	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	9	48%	-0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	29.4	13.0	31.2	2.7	38.1	139.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +59.4%

VAN +7.9%

LAC -13.8%

LAC -6.9%

VAN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	VAN	NBA	LAC	VAN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.8	108.0	112.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.4		97.5	95.7
opponent	15.1	14.7		105.4	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	18.3	15.2	18.0	16.5
VAN	18.7	17.6	14.8	16.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	40	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	15.8	17.1	-1.33	17.3	16.3	1.04
Brian Skinner	15	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	16.3	16.5	-0.28	18.9	16.2	2.71
Eric Piatkowski	36	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-4	5	15.1	17.5	-2.36	15.8	17.6	-1.86
Sherman Douglas	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.5	20.8	-5.29	16.1	20.4	-4.25
Lamond Murray	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	16.8	16.1	0.76	16.9	16.6	0.28
Troy Hudson	29	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-2	1	19.0	15.2	3.81	17.8	16.4	1.44
Michael Olowokandi	81	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.2	1.43	16.4	20.2	-3.82
Rodney Rogers	37	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	12	-27	18.1	15.3	2.71	17.3	16.5	0.86
Maurice Taylor	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	16.4	17.0	-0.56	16.9	15.9	1.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	28	29	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-7	17	17.5	16.5	1.03	17.7	15.9	1.84
Tony Massenburg	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-2	7	16.2	21.6	-5.31	16.3	18.2	-1.93
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	15.7	21.1	-5.38	15.4	20.6	-5.19
Felipe Lopez	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	0	3	15.8	18.7	-2.90	16.0	17.5	-1.49
DeJuan Wheat	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-2	7	18.3	15.5	2.85	16.7	16.3	0.47
Michael Smith	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	0	3	17.1	16.5	0.65	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Mike Bibby	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	5	-7	15.5	18.3	-2.85	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Terry Dehere	29	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	3	-3	18.7	15.8	2.90	17.5	16.0	1.49
J.R. Henderson	9	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	4	-5	22.2	16.2	6.05	20.5	15.9	4.53
Cherokee Parks	30	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	13	-23	17.9	16.2	1.74	16.9	16.3	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	91.8%
WAS 105, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.69,0.89,0.91,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.73,1	91.3%
PHI 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.82,1	91.2%