NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	8.8 [136]		MVP	Jordan Goodwin (PHX): +48.2%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	7.9 [20]		LVP	Royce O'Neale (PHX): -13.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3	0.09	0.23	0.02	13	77%	0.40	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Chet Holmgren	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	11	78%	0.29	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	3	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cason Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	2	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.02,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	22	47%	0.05	3	-0.05	9	89%	-0.01
Branden Carlson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.21	0.30	0.03	16	81%	0.52	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.42	0.42	0.10	0.33	0.01	11	65%	0.45	1	-0.03	15	87%	0.10
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.21	0.00	17	58%	0.41	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.4	32.9	14.6	28.9	1.3	40.6	145.3
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +62.0%

OKC -15.0%

PHX +39.5%

OKC -34.5%

OKC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.2	108.2	112.5	113.6
season	13.6	14.1		118.2	113.2
opponent	14.5	14.6		110.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	14.4	14.4	15.7	14.4
PHX	16.6	12.7	15.0	17.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	66	66	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.09	8	-11	19	14.2	14.7	-0.54	15.8	14.6	1.28
Isaiah Joe	20	20	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-8	13	15.2	14.1	1.11	16.9	15.1	1.90
Chet Holmgren	79	77	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.32	14	-17	31	14.3	14.8	-0.50	15.4	15.5	-0.03
Kenrich Williams	71	70	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	13.8	15.8	-2.02	14.4	18.3	-3.92
Branden Carlson	46	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-4	5	13.6	15.1	-1.49	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Alex Caruso	91	91	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-5	7	14.5	11.8	2.71	15.7	11.4	4.27
Cason Wallace	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.51	11	-14	25	13.7	15.9	-2.18	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Luguentz Dort	86	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-11	19	14.2	15.5	-1.22	15.0	18.9	-3.96
Jalen Williams	81	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-11	19	14.2	15.4	-1.28	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Ajay Mitchell	95	95	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	14.3	16.0	-1.66	15.6	4.0	11.57
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	97	96	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.4	0.0	14.37	15.4	0.0	15.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	96	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.4	0.0	15.45	14.4	0.0	14.37
Jordan Goodwin	96	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.4	0.0	15.45	14.4	0.0	14.37
Collin Gillespie	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	2	-1	16.1	11.9	4.20	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Dillon Brooks	86	88	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	7	-11	15.4	15.6	-0.17	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Mark Williams	64	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.45	-7	10	-17	16.0	14.4	1.56	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Oso Ighodaro	96	96	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	3	-3	15.4	0.0	15.45	14.5	1.0	13.51
Ryan Dunn	95	94	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	6	-9	15.6	4.0	11.57	14.5	11.0	3.48
Royce O'Neale	90	90	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	8	-13	15.2	18.8	-3.61	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Isaiah Livers	16	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	9	-15	13.8	15.8	-1.96	13.5	14.5	-1.04
Jamaree Bouyea	18	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.1	14.2	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.34,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.85,1	91.0%
BOS 93, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.57,0.96,1	90.4%
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	90.3%