NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	7.2 [362]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (NYK): +27.4%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	4.6 [415]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -8.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.07	-0.02	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.34	5	-0.34	6	100%	0.05
Juaquin Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	9	58%	0.07	5	-0.14	15	73%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.21	0.00	5	82%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.17,0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.24	-0.03	11	54%	0.30	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	7	75%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	20	58%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	87%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	29.2	16.4	26.3	1.8	33.2	134.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.8%

HOU -19.0%

HOU -8.7%

NYK +44.0%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.5	102.2	109.7	101.6
season	16.3	15.6		101.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.0	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	16.0	17.2	16.7	15.9
NYK	15.6	16.0	13.3	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	38	39	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.05	7	-14	21	17.3	14.9	2.37	16.3	14.2	2.12
Kelvin Cato	25	24	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.06	6	-13	19	17.1	15.5	1.59	16.9	14.4	2.51
Moochie Norris	16	16	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-9	11	17.0	15.7	1.31	16.6	14.7	1.82
James Posey	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	15.3	16.6	-1.29	14.8	15.3	-0.54
Juaquin Hawkins	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	0.0	15.9	-15.91	3.0	15.2	-12.18
Glen Rice	46	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.3	1.29	15.3	14.8	0.54
Steve Francis	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	1	-9	15.8	17.2	-1.44	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Cuttino Mobley	87	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	1	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.80	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Yao Ming	68	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	6	-19	15.5	17.1	-1.59	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Eddie Griffin	55	54	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.34	-14	7	-21	14.9	17.3	-2.37	14.2	16.3	-2.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	70	70	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-1	9	14.8	15.7	-0.85	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Latrell Sprewell	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	4	-1	15.2	14.7	0.45	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Allan Houston	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	14.8	17.0	-2.15	15.3	21.8	-6.49
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	1	5	15.7	14.6	1.10	16.8	15.4	1.39
Othella Harrington	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	1	5	14.9	15.5	-0.62	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Kurt Thomas	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	7	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.65	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Shandon Anderson	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	2	3	15.3	14.9	0.42	17.2	14.8	2.32
Frank Williams	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.0	14.9	1.13	17.4	15.6	1.77
Michael Doleac	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	5	-3	15.1	15.0	0.11	15.7	16.0	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.45,0.74,1	92.0%
BOS 93, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.57,0.96,1	91.6%
NYK 87, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1	91.4%