NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	7.7 [293]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +24.4%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	4.0 [530]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -24.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	23	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	0.00	19	53%	0.08	4	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.00	12	69%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	8	60%	0.15	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.09
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	16	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.16	0.02	14	57%	-0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	30.1	16.5	21.6	3.3	27.6	125.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.8%

IND +25.5%

NYK -6.8%

IND +14.9%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.5	96.7	100.0	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.7	17.3	20.0	16.6	16.5
IND	16.1	13.5	14.9	18.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-2	2	17.0	16.5	0.51	0.0	15.9	-15.85
Travis Knight	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	22.0	16.0	5.96	12.7	16.0	-3.21
Shandon Anderson	50	48	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-6	10	16.5	16.5	-0.04	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Howard Eisley	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	16.1	17.0	-0.84	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Othella Harrington	57	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.26	16.0	15.2	0.81
Charlie Ward	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.1	0.84	16.4	15.2	1.21
Michael Doleac	32	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.50	2	-4	6	16.2	16.6	-0.39	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Allan Houston	46	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	0	-2	16.8	16.2	0.67	15.9	15.4	0.53
Kurt Thomas	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	16.2	20.7	-4.46	15.8	14.6	1.20
Latrell Sprewell	83	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	4	-10	16.3	18.6	-2.25	16.0	12.9	3.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	75	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.55	6	-4	10	15.8	15.0	0.80	16.5	16.4	0.18
Erick Strickland	47	46	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.53	6	-4	10	16.0	15.3	0.78	16.5	16.5	-0.09
Reggie Miller	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	16.5	12.2	4.32	16.6	16.2	0.42
Ron Mercer	71	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	14.7	19.6	-4.87	17.2	13.6	3.59
Jermaine O'Neal	74	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	0	2	16.1	13.8	2.25	16.4	16.8	-0.34
Jeff Foster	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	13.2	16.0	-2.79	17.0	16.4	0.56
Jonathan Bender	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	7	-12	12.0	16.4	-4.36	14.9	16.8	-1.96
Jamaal Tinsley	42	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	6	-10	15.3	16.0	-0.78	16.5	16.5	0.09
Al Harrington	40	42	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	9	-16	16.9	14.7	2.23	15.7	17.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.57,0.96,1	92.0%
HOU 110, MEM 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.73,1	91.9%
HOU 95, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.85,1	91.4%