inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 110 Excitement8.6 [159] MVPKevin Martin (HOU): +19.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 115 Comeback4.8 [331] LVPAaron Brooks (HOU): -13.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.190,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.190.210.000.021576%0.272-0.0712100%0.11
Shane Battier0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.11-0.000.01783%0.161-0.06475%0.01
Jordan Hill0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00554%0.101-0.05333%-0.02
Courtney Lee0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.00550%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Luis Scola0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001653%0.072-0.04475%-0.01
Chase Budinger0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00545%0.0100.001100%0.01
Jared Jeffries0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00862%0.053-0.0900%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01831%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.00425%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Brooks-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.001036%-0.052-0.085100%0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.160.160.050.120.021758%0.252-0.094100%0.08
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.150.150.060.090.002557%0.273-0.121100%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.060.06-0.030.10-0.00450%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.01262%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00947%0.0100.001100%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01-0.010.04-0.040.011054%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.04-0.070.021163%0.083-0.14560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.827.115.825.32.433.3129.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +44.6%
HOU -18.8%
MEM +26.1%
MEM +0.1%
HOU -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMEMNBAHOUMEMNBA
this game15.414.315.5113.4118.6105.7
season15.215.5109.5106.1
opponent15.514.9103.7107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.716.415.815.715.4
MEM16.313.612.415.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson22210.18-0.680.870.24-2-3118.314.53.7712.614.8-2.19
Charles Hayes57580.07-0.570.64-0.199-142314.416.8-2.4214.813.61.17
Courtney Lee33320.06-0.560.620.12-2-3118.513.84.6313.614.6-1.08
Jared Jeffries110.02-0.520.530.020-554.015.5-11.520.014.4-14.44
Aaron Brooks4445-0.10-0.400.290.16-94-1318.213.15.1313.115.3-2.28
Chase Budinger2929-0.15-0.350.200.03-61-716.415.01.3912.015.3-3.31
Shane Battier6867-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.320-5515.016.4-1.3915.312.13.12
Kyle Lowry5455-0.520.02-0.54-0.613-81112.918.5-5.5915.013.41.56
Jordan Hill3837-0.540.04-0.59-0.19-127-1917.514.13.4114.614.10.54
Kevin Martin6465-0.560.06-0.62-0.47-3-2-113.818.5-4.6314.613.61.08
Luis Scola7575-0.640.14-0.77-0.55-3-2-114.518.3-3.7714.712.91.84

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen25240.71-0.210.920.517-2914.114.4-0.2815.015.5-0.48
Mike Conley71710.480.020.460.4223-114.513.70.8114.418.2-3.76
Rudy Gay79780.430.070.350.46-16-715.011.33.7014.818.0-3.23
Zach Randolph88890.420.080.340.3914-314.214.8-0.5415.118.5-3.38
Marc Gasol37370.380.120.250.58-712-1916.413.03.3813.516.6-3.14
Hasheem Thabeet25250.170.33-0.16-0.047-2913.814.5-0.6615.415.40.05
O.J. Mayo65650.030.47-0.45-0.2710-51513.216.4-3.1616.612.93.68
Greivis Vasquez27270.000.50-0.50-0.0932113.214.7-1.5317.614.53.09
Darrell Arthur4141-0.040.54-0.58-0.247-2913.714.7-1.0918.313.34.96
Sam Young2728-0.070.57-0.640.05-49-1314.214.3-0.0914.315.9-1.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 87, IND 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.82,191.9%
MIN 91, NYK 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.72,191.3%
NYK 74, LAC 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,190.7%