NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	7.3 [339]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +24.2%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	12.4 [87]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -21.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	9	83%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	13	61%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05	0.07	-0.12	0.01	10	67%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jim McIlvaine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	14	33%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.19	-0.01	15	64%	0.33	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	8	36%	-0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	12	57%	-0.10	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.6	25.3	16.4	23.4	1.6	32.2	123.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +9.9%

ATL +13.0%

ATL +20.7%

SEA -6.9%

ATL +13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	NBA	SEA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	17.6	15.6	103.6	106.0	102.5
season	15.3	16.1		109.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.2		101.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.4	13.7	20.2	18.1	16.7
ATL	17.4	18.4	14.8	19.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	34	34	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.10	8	-10	18	15.0	17.9	-2.86	18.9	16.7	2.23
Aaron Williams	26	25	0.23	-0.72	0.95	-0.01	8	-10	18	16.5	16.8	-0.24	17.3	17.7	-0.43
Jerome Kersey	36	36	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.15	2	-4	6	16.6	16.7	-0.11	19.6	16.1	3.55
Greg Anthony	17	17	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.12	3	-5	8	13.4	17.5	-4.13	20.1	16.9	3.18
David Wingate	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	0.0	16.9	-16.90	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Jim McIlvaine	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-2	2	17.8	16.4	1.40	19.3	17.0	2.25
Sam Perkins	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-9	16	15.4	17.7	-2.27	19.3	16.2	3.07
Gary Payton	67	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	3	-8	17.5	13.4	4.13	16.9	20.1	-3.18
Detlef Schrempf	66	66	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.50	-9	7	-16	17.2	15.0	2.17	16.3	22.1	-5.76
Vin Baker	66	65	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.44	-14	12	-26	16.9	15.9	1.04	16.8	20.1	-3.26
Hersey Hawkins	51	51	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.66	-10	8	-18	17.9	14.8	3.10	16.1	19.9	-3.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-5	12	17.0	23.9	-6.84	16.7	16.4	0.30
Christian Laettner	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	1	0	17.6	17.6	-0.07	16.8	16.4	0.40
Dikembe Mutombo	69	71	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	-2	6	17.7	16.9	0.79	17.0	15.3	1.65
Alan Henderson	43	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-4	10	18.1	17.0	1.04	17.3	16.1	1.20
Ed Gray	24	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	0	2	19.5	16.8	2.62	15.6	17.2	-1.51
Mookie Blaylock	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	5	-8	17.5	17.7	-0.21	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Tyrone Corbin	59	58	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	16.5	20.0	-3.50	16.4	17.3	-0.88
Chucky Brown	18	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	8	-14	19.4	17.1	2.30	16.4	16.8	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 74, PHX 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.36,0.43,0.58,1	92.2%
POR 94, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.74,1	91.9%
SAC 94, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.82,1	91.8%