inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 74 Excitement7.9 [261] MVPRodney Rogers (PHX): +33.3%
Phoenix Suns 77 Comeback8.5 [68] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -53.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Robinson0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.090.02875%0.172-0.0600%0.00
Chucky Brown0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0-0.030.050.02850%0.062-0.06250%-0.02
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Samaki Walker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.02650%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00933%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Mario Elie-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.0040%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.00812%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.10-0.12-0.041437%-0.132-0.0640%-0.09
Tim Duncan-0.530,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.42,-0.53-0.25-0.32-0.041834%-0.286-0.25837%-0.22

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.090.240.001182%0.423-0.0900%0.00
Luc Longley0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.04-0.00367%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,0-0.00-0.080.090.012348%0.145-0.142100%0.03
Randy Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Todd Day0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tom Gugliotta0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001250%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Rex Chapman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.03230%-0.031-0.04650%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.00714%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.11-0.150.011432%-0.2700.00650%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.425.614.824.12.436.8127.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +17.2%
PHX +26.6%
SAS -11.5%
PHX +20.2%
SAS -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game16.715.015.280.485.6101.7
season15.514.8101.6101.4
opponent15.315.496.895.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.415.716.716.916.7
PHX15.316.413.315.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Samaki Walker29290.17-0.670.85-0.006-91517.816.11.6713.815.5-1.70
Mario Elie51490.05-0.550.600.08-1-2116.417.0-0.5415.414.50.90
Chucky Brown30300.03-0.530.57-0.032-5716.716.60.1215.814.51.28
Jaren Jackson5453-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-1-117.016.20.7514.515.6-1.14
Malik Rose2725-0.21-0.290.080.14-129-2116.316.8-0.4515.414.80.53
Terry Porter3737-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-1-115.817.2-1.3613.416.1-2.72
Tim Duncan8885-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.38-2-1-116.520.7-4.2814.622.0-7.44
Jerome Kersey4140-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.39-2-1-118.415.23.2216.014.21.79
Avery Johnson6361-0.520.02-0.55-0.41-41-515.918.4-2.5215.015.0-0.08
David Robinson4041-0.530.03-0.55-0.592-5716.416.8-0.3616.413.82.64

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luc Longley49510.71-0.210.930.459-61514.715.3-0.5316.217.3-1.11
Anfernee Hardaway69710.65-0.150.800.418-51315.712.82.8916.517.1-0.64
Tom Gugliotta54550.61-0.110.720.436-3914.515.7-1.1915.618.2-2.57
Rodney Rogers45460.59-0.090.670.5030314.715.3-0.5817.016.30.70
Jason Kidd74770.420.080.340.3621115.114.20.8916.318.7-2.41
Todd Day56-0.000.50-0.51-0.0003-315.415.00.4514.016.8-2.84
Randy Livingston98-0.010.51-0.530.04-25-712.815.2-2.4416.516.7-0.17
Rex Chapman2322-0.050.55-0.600.01-25-713.215.6-2.3619.315.83.44
Clifford Robinson4245-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-14-514.515.4-0.8117.415.91.46
Shawn Marion4140-0.120.62-0.740.03-58-1315.714.41.3016.416.8-0.40
Oliver Miller3939-0.200.70-0.90-0.11-36-916.014.21.8017.715.91.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.36,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,192.3%
SEA 87, ATL 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,192.2%
ATL 109, OKC 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,191.9%