NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	121		Excitement	8.0 [258]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (MEM): +25.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	128		Comeback	1.5 [607]		LVP	Jaylen Wells (MEM): -16.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.10	-0.00	10	83%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.10	0.03	15	71%	0.27	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.09
Santi Aldama	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Cam Spencer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.08	0.01	7	78%	0.07	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Christian Koloko	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ja Morant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	18	41%	-0.00	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Cedric Coward	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	10	24%	-0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.08	0.03	11	27%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.09	0.02	18	74%	0.31	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Luka Don?i?	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.02	18	61%	0.30	6	-0.12	20	85%	0.09
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	6	86%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	12	78%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.4	32.2	14.3	34.2	0.0	30.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.0%

LAL +23.8%

MEM -9.4%

LAL +3.1%

MEM -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	12.4	14.0	14.2	113.1	116.4	113.4
season	13.7	14.6		112.3	115.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		114.4	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.2	12.7	11.7	13.2	12.4
LAL	12.8	12.6	15.1	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Spencer	83	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	12.8	11.2	1.59	14.3	13.1	1.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	95	96	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-11	15	12.3	13.5	-1.19	14.8	8.8	6.02
Christian Koloko	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	7	-21	12.8	12.0	0.83	14.1	14.0	0.14
GG Jackson	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	7	-21	12.9	11.3	1.56	14.0	14.1	-0.16
Jock Landale	90	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	2	-11	12.9	9.9	3.04	14.3	12.7	1.63
Santi Aldama	107	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.4	0.0	12.44	14.0	0.0	14.04
Ja Morant	91	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	12.5	12.4	0.08	14.3	12.2	2.09
Jaylen Wells	85	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	1	-9	12.6	11.6	1.01	14.4	12.3	2.10
Cedric Coward	87	89	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.23	-14	7	-21	12.8	10.8	2.02	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Jaren Jackson Jr.	102	106	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.32	-13	6	-19	12.5	11.8	0.67	14.0	13.7	0.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Don?i?	100	97	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-5	17	14.2	11.9	2.35	12.8	9.2	3.57
Jaxson Hayes	91	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-7	21	14.3	12.8	1.44	12.5	12.0	0.53
Jake LaRavia	99	95	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-1	9	14.3	11.6	2.67	12.8	9.7	3.12
LeBron James	110	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.0	0.0	14.04	12.4	0.0	12.44
Marcus Smart	100	97	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	14.4	10.1	4.33	12.5	11.8	0.71
Dalton Knecht	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-5	17	14.5	13.6	0.87	13.5	11.2	2.24
Jarred Vanderbilt	93	91	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	14.3	12.6	1.64	12.8	10.2	2.57
Deandre Ayton	78	76	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	14.3	13.4	0.93	12.8	11.5	1.35
Nick Smith Jr.	80	80	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	13.8	14.7	-0.91	12.6	11.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.99,0.98,1	92.1%
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	91.9%
NJN 79, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.91,1,1	91.8%