inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 106 Excitement7.1 [384] MVPRichaun Holmes (SAC): +17.6%
Sacramento Kings 113 Comeback1.2 [408] LVPNicolo Melli (DAL): -16.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.10.030.04-0.032047%0.1000.0000%0.00
Trey Burke0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.12-0.020.001468%0.1000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.014100%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00956%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Josh Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.020.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01653%0.041-0.0230%-0.10
Maxi Kleber-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Brunson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01937%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Dwight Powell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%0.021-0.05250%-0.03
Luka Doncic-0.040,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.002052%0.104-0.14667%-0.01
Nicolo Melli-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.100.0030%-0.101-0.0600%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richaun Holmes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.180.180.150.050.021280%0.282-0.106100%0.03
Chimezie Metu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.110.00675%0.1700.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.020.011086%0.161-0.012100%0.01
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.011262%0.112-0.022100%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.03-0.02275%0.091-0.014100%0.04
Terence Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.004100%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02562%0.072-0.04367%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.061644%0.044-0.0600%0.00
Kyle Guy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.05-0.02937%-0.022-0.0610%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.825.314.727.42.437.5131.9
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +34.5%
SAC +13.8%
SAC +0.1%
DAL -1.7%
SAC +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSACNBADALSACNBA
this game15.214.814.4110.4117.7111.3
season15.014.0114.3112.2
opponent14.414.4115.9112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.915.415.913.615.2
SAC12.917.414.714.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Green31320.29-0.791.08-0.1515-223713.516.0-2.4416.414.02.41
Boban Marjanovic15150.05-0.550.59-0.074-111516.914.82.0916.714.52.17
Trey Burke56570.04-0.540.59-0.3413-203314.216.6-2.4115.513.91.62
Jalen Brunson3434-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-121715.315.10.2415.714.41.35
Nicolo Melli3838-0.09-0.410.31-0.214-111515.415.00.4216.713.63.06
Maxi Kleber2021-0.24-0.260.020.11-125-1715.815.00.8613.615.2-1.62
Willie Cauley-Stein5253-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.446-131914.316.2-1.8315.713.81.89
Dwight Powell2928-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-1710-2715.814.90.8512.215.9-3.65
Luka Doncic7876-0.690.19-0.89-0.14-1912-3115.613.12.5314.018.1-4.19
Tim Hardaway Jr.6160-0.700.20-0.89-0.11-2013-3315.414.70.6713.616.9-3.24

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrese Haliburton74730.65-0.150.790.3012-51714.416.3-1.9315.514.11.36
Maurice Harkless72740.56-0.060.620.1514-72114.017.4-3.4415.215.2-0.02
Richaun Holmes56560.53-0.030.550.2310-31313.416.9-3.5014.216.5-2.37
Chimezie Metu27250.380.120.250.3225-315.814.51.3116.014.91.13
Buddy Hield65640.360.140.230.0710-31313.517.6-4.0615.215.00.20
Harrison Barnes48470.170.33-0.16-0.0161514.515.1-0.5815.714.61.13
Delon Wright42430.120.38-0.260.27-512-1716.513.52.9613.516.5-3.04
Damian Jones4040-0.030.53-0.550.06-310-1316.913.43.5016.514.22.37
Kyle Guy2121-0.110.61-0.720.07-613-1916.714.32.3514.315.4-1.13
Terence Davis3537-0.130.63-0.760.02-512-1716.513.92.6915.614.90.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 102, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.99,192.6%
IND 84, LAL 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,192.3%
POR 96, LAL 1030.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,191.4%