inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 116 Excitement6.8 [315] MVPJaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA): +29.6%
Miami Heat 142 Comeback1.7 [508] LVPDavion Mitchell (MIA): -13.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.210,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.160.04-0.012177%0.315-0.101100%0.01
Bennedict Mathurin0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.090.011668%0.265-0.11580%0.01
Johnny Furphy0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02669%0.071-0.021100%0.01
Jay Huff0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.030.01869%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.02950%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Kam Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taelon Peter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00175%0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Micah Potter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Nembhard-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.011744%0.073-0.1100%0.00
Quenton Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.05-0.03350%0.013-0.082100%0.01
Jarace Walker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.01150%-0.013-0.07475%0.01
Ethan Thompson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.02-0.0320%-0.043-0.0510%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.190.120.011580%0.362-0.065100%0.03
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.210.070.021687%0.332-0.0600%0.00
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.050.02780%0.1600.00683%0.02
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.041168%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.051463%0.092-0.052100%0.02
Norman Powell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.031950%0.061-0.038100%0.05
Myron Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02642%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.01-0.02825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.040.0060%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.51.329.013.530.22.230.6130.4
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +4.8%
MIA +10.6%
IND -0.5%
MIA +35.1%
MIA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game13.312.514.2105.5125.7113.5
season13.912.8107.4113.3
opponent14.514.1110.4115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.313.112.614.113.3
MIA14.211.813.111.212.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Bradley5050-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-15413.213.3-0.1913.811.52.24
Jay Huff7576-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-16613.712.41.2713.111.41.75
Kam Jones2829-0.34-0.16-0.170.31-22-4-1814.113.01.0811.213.0-1.73
Taelon Peter2829-0.34-0.16-0.170.31-22-4-1814.113.01.0811.213.0-1.73
Jarace Walker102104-0.40-0.10-0.310.15-19-7-1213.312.50.8212.512.7-0.15
Quenton Jackson8487-0.46-0.04-0.420.39-293-3213.512.41.1012.811.51.29
Pascal Siakam103105-0.500.00-0.500.12-21-5-1613.214.1-0.9412.413.6-1.18
Johnny Furphy5655-0.510.01-0.530.13-22-4-1814.312.22.0513.511.61.83
Andrew Nembhard9697-0.510.01-0.530.13-22-4-1813.312.80.5512.413.2-0.84
Bennedict Mathurin9092-0.520.02-0.530.10-21-5-1613.312.90.3812.413.2-0.87
Micah Potter3941-0.530.03-0.560.20-25-1-2414.312.71.5410.713.6-2.82
Ethan Thompson5961-0.540.04-0.570.40-326-3814.012.41.5512.612.50.09
Aaron Nesmith8991-0.820.32-1.130.24-3610-4613.611.71.9712.413.0-0.64

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jovi?99970.68-0.180.87-0.3435-94412.413.2-0.7813.610.63.00
Dru Smith100990.59-0.090.67-0.182602612.512.7-0.1813.213.6-0.41
Andrew Wiggins91900.53-0.030.570.091511413.110.22.9213.313.10.20
Kasparas Jaku?ionis1131100.500.000.50-0.262602612.50.012.5313.30.013.26
Jaime Jaquez Jr.1081060.500.000.50-0.061971212.611.01.6013.117.5-4.40
Pelle Larsson67650.340.160.18-0.191881012.912.00.9013.812.61.20
Myron Gardner29280.340.160.17-0.312241811.213.0-1.7314.113.01.08
Simone Fontecchio29280.340.160.17-0.312241811.213.0-1.7314.113.01.08
Keshad Johnson29280.340.160.17-0.312241811.213.0-1.7314.113.01.08
Kel'el Ware89880.300.200.09-0.141511412.911.31.5213.412.90.50
Norman Powell92920.260.240.02-0.271881012.711.80.9413.312.90.45
Davion Mitchell48470.110.39-0.28-0.07620-1413.711.62.0814.012.71.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.6,0.44,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 89, SEA 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.8%
DET 89, ORL 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.2%
GSW 79, MEM 900.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,193.1%