inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 126 Excitement10.4 [40] MVPDesmond Bane (ORL): +61.4%
Orlando Magic 127 Comeback10.8 [51] LVPPaolo Banchero (ORL): -14.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.320,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.32,0.32,0.320.120.20-0.011462%0.3200.004100%0.02
Nikola Joki?0.270,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.15,0.270.080.19-0.012260%0.484-0.211392%0.21
Julian Strawther0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.07-0.00693%0.201-0.022100%0.01
Peyton Watson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.040.01975%0.161-0.022100%0.02
Spencer Jones0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01774%0.162-0.07560%-0.01
Bruce Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00367%0.063-0.1000%0.00
Jalen Pickett-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0110%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.110,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.110.03-0.120.022152%-0.052-0.064100%0.05

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.610.610.130.490.001367%0.631-0.0210100%0.28
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.53,0.530.530.270.300.032470%0.561-0.04650%-0.11
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.380.380.120.26-0.001171%0.3800.00250%-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.070.001653%0.1400.00250%-0.01
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.04-0.00262%0.0600.00475%0.01
Noah Penda0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.000100%0.0400.002100%0.02
Jamal Cain0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.01370%0.0300.00475%0.00
Jett Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jase Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00436%0.011-0.04367%0.01
Paolo Banchero0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.050.001340%-0.083-0.0640%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.20.530.613.825.11.450.9145.5
league avg26.32.028.914.429.62.332.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +49.4%
DEN -7.3%
DEN -34.5%
ORL +39.5%
ORL +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game14.514.114.2124.8127.0113.6
season14.814.1119.6113.0
opponent14.214.1112.6115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.814.015.315.014.5
ORL16.613.713.013.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Pickett6462-0.19-0.310.110.10-109-1914.414.7-0.2814.313.70.63
Tim Hardaway Jr.100100-0.21-0.290.09-0.18-10-114.66.08.6114.00.014.05
Julian Strawther7371-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-1413-2715.113.02.1613.914.4-0.56
Bruce Brown9392-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-1110-2114.910.44.5113.915.7-1.85
Nikola Joki?101100-0.500.00-0.50-0.47-10-114.50.014.5214.00.014.05
Spencer Jones8987-0.620.12-0.73-0.47-54-914.415.1-0.6313.815.6-1.80
Peyton Watson9594-0.620.12-0.74-0.44-65-1114.712.02.6813.915.7-1.72
Jamal Murray9392-0.630.13-0.77-0.43-76-1314.614.00.5713.817.1-3.34
Jonas Valan?i?nas4039-0.680.18-0.85-0.18-1716-3315.513.91.5712.714.9-2.18

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Black81830.93-0.431.370.3819-183713.516.4-2.9314.912.72.19
Jonathan Isaac39400.68-0.180.850.1817-163312.714.9-2.1815.513.91.57
Tyus Jones75760.63-0.130.760.1616-153113.515.7-2.2314.913.41.44
Noah Penda82830.62-0.120.740.0619-183713.715.8-2.1714.813.21.65
Paolo Banchero94950.62-0.120.740.446-51113.915.7-1.7214.712.02.68
Desmond Bane97980.59-0.090.680.416-51113.821.0-7.1614.611.03.63
Tristan da Silva89890.51-0.010.520.1313-122513.815.9-2.0915.011.23.72
Jase Richardson71730.350.150.20-0.0614-132713.914.4-0.5615.113.02.16
Jett Howard19200.000.50-0.50-0.0310112.914.3-1.3614.714.50.22
Wendell Carter Jr.100100-0.150.65-0.79-0.12-12-314.00.014.0514.66.08.61
Jamal Cain2626-0.200.70-0.90-0.02-67-1313.714.2-0.4314.014.7-0.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.86,0.75,0.71,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 95, MIL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.41,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.42,190.1%
BKN 108, OKC 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.31,0.58,189.0%
MIL 94, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.74,188.9%