NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	8.7 [128]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (ATL): +45.8%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	9.9 [156]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): -14.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.02	23	60%	0.18	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	21	51%	0.17	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.14
Ersan Ilyasova	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	8	62%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	42%	0.00	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	10	10%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14,0.46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.00	4	112%	0.56	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	19	56%	0.17	5	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	42%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	26.2	15.6	28.0	1.8	34.3	133.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +96.1%

MIL -29.4%

ATL +10.1%

MIL -29.6%

ATL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	15.6	92.2	99.0	102.8
season	14.6	15.7		103.8	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		99.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	13.2	16.0	14.5	14.0
ATL	13.9	14.0	14.0	16.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	11	10	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-11	17	16.1	13.8	2.31	18.7	14.0	4.68
Ersan Ilyasova	53	52	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-12	19	13.4	14.7	-1.28	14.8	14.2	0.62
Jon Leuer	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	15.0	13.8	1.16	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Shaun Livingston	54	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-6	7	13.5	14.6	-1.16	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Beno Udrih	60	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.3	1.18	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Drew Gooden	81	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	13.8	15.0	-1.16	14.7	13.6	1.16
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	7	-19	14.7	13.4	1.28	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Brandon Jennings	90	89	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	5	-15	14.0	14.0	0.03	14.8	12.4	2.39
Carlos Delfino	91	90	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	6	-17	13.8	16.1	-2.31	14.0	18.7	-4.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	45	46	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.36	17	-12	29	15.4	13.7	1.69	15.2	13.1	2.16
Vladimir Radmanovic	32	32	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.44	13	-8	21	15.1	14.2	0.93	14.3	13.9	0.41
Jannero Pargo	34	34	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-5	15	16.9	13.3	3.62	15.0	13.5	1.46
Tracy McGrady	51	51	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	15.4	13.5	1.92	14.9	13.2	1.75
Ivan Johnson	32	31	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	0	5	14.8	14.3	0.52	14.9	13.6	1.26
Josh Smith	73	76	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	7	-9	14.3	15.0	-0.70	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Zaza Pachulia	52	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	9	-13	13.6	15.5	-1.86	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Marvin Williams	58	60	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.11	-6	11	-17	13.8	15.5	-1.74	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Jeff Teague	68	71	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.13	-7	12	-19	13.6	16.3	-2.68	13.7	14.7	-0.93
Kirk Hinrich	55	56	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	17	-29	13.7	15.4	-1.69	13.1	15.2	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.74,1	91.9%
ORL 84, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.42,1	91.4%
NOK 88, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.42,1	90.7%