NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	7.7 [268]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +12.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	22.4 [84]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -41.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12	0.10	-0.03	-0.05	26	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Casey Jacobsen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	4	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	15	56%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.42	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42	-0.12	-0.26	0.04	24	44%	-0.29	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.03	22	68%	0.19	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.00	7	57%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.12	0.01	8	77%	0.02	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	8	41%	-0.03	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	17	34%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.1	0.2	28.5	2.8	31.2	116.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +37.2%

SAC +13.4%

SAC +12.8%

PHX -15.1%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.7	104.1	109.2	100.5
season	14.6	14.7		99.6	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.9	14.8	15.2	17.6	14.7
SAC	13.8	15.8	16.8	12.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	37	37	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-15	25	12.9	15.8	-2.92	16.2	13.7	2.55
Casey Jacobsen	34	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-5	5	14.3	15.0	-0.63	16.7	13.6	3.11
Scott Williams	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	9	-23	15.8	14.1	1.77	13.9	15.1	-1.14
Anfernee Hardaway	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.6	15.2	-0.62	14.8	14.4	0.36
Shawn Marion	90	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-6	7	14.6	16.5	-1.92	14.4	17.2	-2.83
Joe Johnson	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.6	11.9	3.70	14.8	14.1	0.71
Stephon Marbury	89	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.4	18.4	-4.08	14.1	19.2	-5.06
Jake Voskuhl	58	59	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.44	-12	7	-19	15.4	13.8	1.58	13.8	16.0	-2.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	50	49	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.36	18	-13	31	15.5	13.7	1.81	15.9	13.6	2.29
Brad Miller	64	64	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-7	19	13.5	16.9	-3.46	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Bobby Jackson	63	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-5	15	15.5	13.1	2.39	14.9	14.5	0.40
Doug Christie	77	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	13.9	17.5	-3.59	15.5	12.3	3.18
Peja Stojakovic	89	88	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	14.4	17.0	-2.58	14.9	13.4	1.49
Tony Massenburg	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	6	-7	17.0	13.8	3.24	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Gerald Wallace	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	18.0	14.4	3.64	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Darius Songaila	11	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	14	-23	17.5	14.3	3.16	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Vlade Divac	52	53	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.12	-8	13	-21	14.4	14.9	-0.49	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Mike Bibby	49	51	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.01	-13	18	-31	13.6	15.7	-2.04	13.5	16.1	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 119, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.26,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.8,0.91,1	92.5%
DET 100, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.89,0.96,0.59,1	92.3%
MIL 94, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.74,1	91.9%