NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	1.6 [644]		MVP	Keon Ellis (SAC): +15.0%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.2 [519]		LVP	Max Christie (DAL): -9.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cooper Flagg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	13	72%	0.16	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Cisse	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Nembhard	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Max Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	12	35%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	15	70%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	15	63%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	66%	0.17	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	0.3	24.0	15.4	23.5	0.0	39.0	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +21.8%

DAL -4.4%

SAC +1.4%

SAC +30.1%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.2	102.9	109.7	113.4
season	13.9	14.4		109.5	109.5
opponent	14.1	13.9		119.3	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	14.8	12.5	12.1	13.4
SAC	12.8	14.5	15.2	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-10	14	12.5	13.7	-1.19	15.2	14.1	1.05
Dwight Powell	62	61	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-13	20	13.8	12.8	0.98	14.9	13.7	1.17
Moussa Cisse	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	2	-10	14.2	13.1	1.07	12.8	14.9	-2.09
Caleb Martin	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	2	-10	15.5	13.1	2.45	11.8	14.8	-2.93
D'Angelo Russell	44	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	5	-16	14.3	12.7	1.64	13.2	15.2	-2.02
Klay Thompson	82	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	13.6	12.7	0.90	13.9	16.3	-2.43
Ryan Nembhard	63	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	5	-16	14.2	12.1	2.06	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Daniel Gafford	81	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	5	-16	13.8	12.0	1.79	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Max Christie	86	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	5	-16	13.7	11.7	2.02	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Naji Marshall	97	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	13.5	11.7	1.80	14.7	11.6	3.13
P.J. Washington	104	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.4	0.0	13.39	14.4	0.0	14.41
Cooper Flagg	90	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	6	-18	13.6	12.2	1.36	14.7	13.1	1.59

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Ellis	99	101	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-7	20	14.5	12.5	1.98	13.5	10.0	3.50
DeMar DeRozan	86	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-8	22	14.6	13.6	0.91	13.6	12.2	1.40
Russell Westbrook	86	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-8	22	14.6	13.6	0.91	13.6	12.2	1.40
Precious Achiuwa	94	96	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-1	8	14.7	11.6	3.13	13.6	11.2	2.32
Malik Monk	80	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-7	20	14.0	16.0	-1.99	13.7	12.4	1.31
Dennis Schr�der	92	93	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	1	4	14.0	17.7	-3.72	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Nique Clifford	80	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-4	14	13.5	17.4	-3.90	13.5	12.8	0.73
Dylan Cardwell	87	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	14.3	14.9	-0.55	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Maxime Raynaud	80	82	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	3	0	14.6	13.9	0.69	13.7	12.3	1.36
Doug McDermott	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	9	-12	15.0	14.0	0.94	13.2	13.5	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 113, TOR 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%