NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	1.3 [992]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	125		Comeback	1.1 [669]		LVP	Cody Martin (CHA): -8.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	10	79%	0.21	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
James Bouknight	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
P.J. Washington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	16	61%	0.13	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Kai Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	8	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.04	0.05	21	68%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	16	65%	0.12	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	71%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	2	50%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.7	28.4	15.3	30.8	1.7	27.5	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.1%

TOR +3.1%

TOR +8.9%

TOR +1.7%

TOR +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.5	14.5	114.1	122.5	110.8
season	14.0	14.9		112.9	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.1	13.6	13.2	12.8	13.2
TOR	15.1	14.6	15.0	17.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.7	13.2	-0.49	19.4	15.2	4.27
Kai Jones	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.7	13.2	-0.49	19.4	15.2	4.27
JT Thor	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.7	13.2	-0.49	19.4	15.2	4.27
P.J. Washington	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-8	4	13.2	13.2	0.09	14.1	15.6	-1.44
Ish Smith	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-15	18	11.9	13.4	-1.47	17.2	15.1	2.06
James Bouknight	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-12	12	12.4	14.4	-2.00	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Cody Martin	76	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	13.2	13.1	0.05	15.9	14.1	1.73
Terry Rozier	59	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	13.7	12.4	1.29	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Kelly Oubre Jr.	57	59	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	13.4	12.9	0.42	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Mason Plumlee	67	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	6	-24	13.4	12.7	0.76	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Miles Bridges	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	3	-18	13.6	12.4	1.14	15.0	16.3	-1.29
LaMelo Ball	68	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	7	-26	13.0	13.5	-0.41	15.3	15.7	-0.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	79	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	-7	26	14.8	17.6	-2.79	13.2	13.1	0.06
Pascal Siakam	82	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-5	22	15.7	14.4	1.25	13.7	10.8	2.88
Dalano Banton	34	35	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	14.5	15.9	-1.38	14.2	12.6	1.63
Gary Trent Jr.	76	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	0	12	15.3	15.8	-0.43	12.9	13.9	-0.96
Yuta Watanabe	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	9	-6	14.6	16.2	-1.60	13.3	13.1	0.16
Chris Boucher	66	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	8	-4	16.0	14.4	1.68	12.4	14.5	-2.09
Malachi Flynn	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	14	-16	15.8	15.1	0.72	12.7	13.8	-1.07
Justin Champagnie	8	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	8	-4	14.1	15.6	-1.44	13.2	13.2	0.09
Precious Achiuwa	52	50	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	4	4	15.7	15.2	0.53	13.5	12.9	0.58
Svi Mykhailiuk	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.4	15.2	5.20	12.5	13.2	-0.72
Isaac Bonga	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.4	15.2	5.20	12.5	13.2	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
VAN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 70, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%