NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	129		Excitement	9.4 [88]		MVP	Keyonte George (UTA): +36.0%
Utah Jazz	131		Comeback	2.9 [85]		LVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): -17.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	92%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Javonte Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.01	13	55%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cade Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.05,-0.01,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	19	62%	0.21	4	-0.21	9	67%	0.04
Jalen Duren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.12	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	-0.01	6	92%	0.13	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	7	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.21	0.01	22	67%	0.50	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	-0.03	0.01	18	65%	0.25	2	-0.13	10	100%	0.05
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	59%	0.22	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.00	9	76%	0.11	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	6	64%	0.12	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.6	26.3	15.2	36.4	0.0	34.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +72.2%

DET -5.9%

UTA +3.2%

DET -22.7%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	12.9	14.3	14.2	120.6	124.8	113.5
season	14.1	14.0		115.3	112.5
opponent	13.6	14.2		119.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	10.9	15.0	13.9	12.2	12.9
UTA	13.9	15.6	12.8	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	74	72	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-9	16	12.7	13.1	-0.35	14.9	12.9	1.98
Paul Reed	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-5	8	16.9	12.6	4.29	19.4	13.9	5.50
Jalen Duren	54	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-3	4	13.4	12.3	1.01	15.6	12.8	2.89
Jaden Ivey	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	4	-10	12.7	13.0	-0.25	14.8	13.6	1.25
Daniss Jenkins	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	2	-6	13.8	12.3	1.55	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Javonte Green	103	101	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-7	12	13.0	9.7	3.22	14.5	9.0	5.50
Isaiah Stewart	95	95	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	3	-8	13.1	10.8	2.27	14.5	12.3	2.21
Ausar Thompson	42	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	15	-32	14.3	11.9	2.36	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Caris LeVert	93	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	12.6	14.5	-1.90	14.3	14.1	0.19
Cade Cunningham	102	102	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	13.0	9.0	4.04	14.5	8.7	5.79
Duncan Robinson	81	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	7	-16	13.2	11.7	1.53	14.6	13.4	1.14
Tobias Harris	95	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	3	-8	13.2	9.8	3.40	14.3	14.3	0.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurki?	77	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-14	30	14.4	14.1	0.26	13.5	11.1	2.48
Brice Sensabaugh	95	95	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-3	8	14.6	11.6	2.98	13.3	9.2	4.06
Keyonte George	97	97	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-2	6	14.6	11.0	3.57	13.1	10.8	2.26
Lauri Markkanen	105	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.3	0.0	14.30	12.9	0.0	12.85
Svi Mykhailiuk	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-12	26	14.4	14.1	0.32	13.6	11.9	1.68
Isaiah Collier	85	88	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.49	-6	8	-14	14.4	13.8	0.61	12.3	15.4	-3.06
Kevin Love	72	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	-3	8	14.2	14.5	-0.36	12.9	12.6	0.31
Walter Clayton Jr.	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	13.9	14.6	-0.68	14.2	11.8	2.40
Kyle Filipowski	66	68	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	2	-2	14.0	14.7	-0.67	12.7	13.0	-0.28
Taylor Hendricks	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	18.1	13.7	4.48	15.6	12.4	3.13
Ace Bailey	35	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	8	-14	15.0	13.9	1.06	12.0	13.3	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.88,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.83,1	92.7%
POR 100, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.91,0.98,1	90.4%
GSW 123, MIN 126	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.74,1	90.4%