NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	6.9 [412]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +23.6%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	2.3 [732]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -10.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.16	0.04	0.05	14	81%	0.23	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	70%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	17	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.20	-0.01	13	52%	0.26	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	21	63%	0.23	6	-0.10	10	80%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	39.3	18.7	26.2	1.8	41.3	154.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +8.7%

HOU +0.5%

HOU +25.1%

HOU +16.3%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.3	108.7	113.0	106.0
season	16.7	15.0		108.8	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	17.5	15.6	15.2	16.1
HOU	16.6	12.5	16.3	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	33	34	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-9	14	13.0	17.9	-4.85	15.2	15.1	0.11
Jeff Ayres	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	12.0	16.4	-4.38	19.8	14.9	4.90
Rudy Fernandez	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-6	8	13.4	19.6	-6.17	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Nicolas Batum	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-10	16	13.8	19.7	-5.88	15.1	15.3	-0.29
Steve Blake	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-6	8	14.8	17.8	-3.00	15.7	14.4	1.35
Andre Miller	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	6	-16	19.1	14.1	4.96	15.3	15.1	0.23
Jerryd Bayless	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-2	0	18.3	14.0	4.29	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Martell Webster	41	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	4	-12	18.1	14.6	3.53	14.0	16.1	-2.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-2	0	16.4	14.5	1.87	15.2	15.1	0.11
Juwan Howard	62	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	11	-26	18.6	11.1	7.48	15.6	14.3	1.33

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-6	16	15.0	15.5	-0.42	17.2	13.7	3.45
Luis Scola	64	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-6	16	16.5	12.0	4.50	18.0	11.5	6.47
Trevor Ariza	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	15.6	13.6	1.93	16.9	13.2	3.63
Aaron Brooks	83	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	15.4	12.7	2.77	16.0	17.4	-1.35
Carl Landry	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	5	-6	14.9	15.7	-0.87	14.3	19.5	-5.20
Charles Hayes	34	33	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.17	0	4	-4	16.8	14.2	2.63	17.3	15.5	1.81
David Andersen	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	11.5	16.2	-4.62	16.0	16.2	-0.12
Kyle Lowry	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	1	2	13.2	15.9	-2.70	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Chase Budinger	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	10	-16	13.7	16.1	-2.32	12.8	18.2	-5.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.9,1,1,1	92.4%
LAC 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.91,1	92.3%
PHX 104, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.85,1,1,1	92.1%