NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	7.5 [268]		MVP	Ramon Sessions (CLE): +23.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.2 [172]		LVP	Mo Williams (LAC): -21.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	11	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	16	60%	0.14	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.06
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	16	42%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	1	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.1,-0.16	0.03	-0.18	0.01	15	58%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	10	24%	-0.14	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.12	-0.02	16	67%	0.30	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.21	0.03	11	65%	0.29	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	18	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	79%	0.14	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Semih Erden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	8	39%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.8	27.2	15.6	33.4	2.4	41.5	142.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +86.8%

LAC -28.5%

LAC -3.2%

LAC -2.8%

LAC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	18.1	14.9	15.6	105.7	112.5	102.8
season	16.2	15.5		106.0	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.7		107.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.9	20.6	18.7	15.8	18.1
CLE	12.1	16.4	16.5	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-7	7	20.3	16.6	3.65	16.3	14.0	2.30
Ryan Gomes	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	1	-9	19.7	17.7	2.06	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Chris Paul	68	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-9	11	17.2	21.2	-4.02	15.2	13.7	1.44
DeAndre Jordan	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-8	9	16.0	20.5	-4.45	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Reggie Evans	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	3	-13	21.3	16.9	4.46	15.2	14.7	0.42
Randy Foye	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	1	-9	19.1	16.7	2.39	14.2	15.8	-1.68
Blake Griffin	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	17.5	20.3	-2.79	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Mo Williams	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	0	-7	18.3	17.6	0.70	15.1	14.3	0.77
Caron Butler	66	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-3	-1	17.4	20.2	-2.86	14.9	14.7	0.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	65	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	15.1	14.3	0.76	17.9	18.5	-0.60
Antawn Jamison	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	0	7	14.3	17.2	-2.84	17.5	20.3	-2.77
Anderson Varejao	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	2	3	14.9	14.7	0.17	17.4	19.6	-2.26
Ramon Sessions	74	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	14.6	16.4	-1.78	17.7	19.9	-2.17
Alonzo Gee	59	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	15.2	14.2	1.03	17.7	18.8	-1.09
Omri Casspi	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	2	3	13.6	15.9	-2.24	18.2	17.9	0.29
Luke Harangody	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	16.5	14.6	1.92	19.5	17.9	1.69
Semih Erden	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	4	-1	13.3	15.1	-1.77	20.7	17.7	3.04
Christian Eyenga	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	16.2	14.3	1.96	20.0	17.2	2.81
Samardo Samuels	21	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	12	-17	16.5	14.4	2.12	19.6	17.5	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.91,0.98,1	92.3%
NYK 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.93,1	91.8%
SEA 99, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.99,1	91.3%