NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	6.7 [445]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +9.0%
Indiana Pacers	87		Comeback	1.7 [687]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -34.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	13	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	48%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	12	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.35	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.36,-0.35	-0.10	-0.24	0.01	22	45%	-0.25	3	-0.10	7	43%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	42%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	5	50%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	24.5	15.6	27.2	2.4	33.2	130.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.8%

IND +13.0%

IND +9.4%

IND +3.9%

NYK -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.6	90.9	96.7	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.4	105.3
opponent	16.1	16.3		99.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	17.3	17.0	14.8	16.4
IND	14.8	14.7	16.5	18.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	18.9	15.5	3.42	17.8	15.3	2.47
Chris Mills	61	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	16.8	15.5	1.31	16.3	15.1	1.21
Chris Childs	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	17.1	15.1	2.04	16.7	14.7	1.95
Larry Johnson	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	16.1	16.6	-0.47	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Allan Houston	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	16.3	16.4	-0.09	15.2	16.9	-1.61
Charlie Ward	31	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	2	-11	15.1	17.1	-2.04	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Charles Oakley	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-5	3	16.1	17.4	-1.32	15.8	16.6	-0.76
John Starks	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	16.5	16.2	0.27	16.5	15.4	1.12
Patrick Ewing	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	4	-15	15.6	19.6	-3.98	15.6	17.3	-1.76

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	67	65	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-11	29	15.1	18.6	-3.53	15.6	18.5	-2.89
Mark Jackson	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	15.1	17.5	-2.45	16.5	16.1	0.41
Reggie Miller	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	1	5	15.5	17.4	-1.83	16.7	15.5	1.20
Chris Mullin	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	1	5	15.4	16.6	-1.16	16.7	16.0	0.65
Jalen Rose	43	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	6	-5	16.6	15.4	1.16	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Antonio Davis	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	10	-13	17.1	15.0	2.10	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Dale Davis	55	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	1	5	15.8	16.2	-0.36	16.9	15.5	1.44
Fred Hoiberg	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	17.4	15.5	1.83	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Travis Best	34	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	10	-13	17.5	15.1	2.45	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Mark Pope	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	9	-11	16.0	16.0	0.03	18.7	16.1	2.61
Mark West	6	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	12	-17	19.5	15.7	3.77	20.0	16.2	3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.66,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.92,1	92.9%
GSW 72, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.96,1	92.3%
IND 100, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.95,1	92.2%