NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	7.4 [337]		MVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): +14.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.6 [887]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -18.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.12	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	14	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	15	33%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	17	65%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	56%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	11	38%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.0	24.2	15.5	27.3	2.4	32.5	126.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.9%

BOS -2.5%

BOS -6.9%

MIL +1.9%

MIL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.1	100.0	105.5	104.2
season	14.3	14.5		103.1	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	17.6	15.8	15.4	16.0
MIL	16.8	13.5	13.6	17.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	36	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-6	9	17.4	15.1	2.29	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Tyler Zeller	35	35	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-11	19	14.9	16.7	-1.76	13.6	16.3	-2.74
Jae Crowder	59	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-12	21	15.9	16.2	-0.26	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Marcus Thornton	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-6	9	16.1	16.0	0.07	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Evan Turner	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	14.6	19.4	-4.84	16.1	13.2	2.93
Jared Sullinger	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	6	-15	16.9	14.7	2.19	16.3	13.6	2.74
Brandon Bass	33	30	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	14	-31	15.7	16.2	-0.44	15.6	15.1	0.47
Marcus Smart	69	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	16.6	14.4	2.15	15.5	14.7	0.73
Avery Bradley	71	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	4	-11	16.1	15.7	0.43	15.7	13.9	1.88

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	65	64	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-6	15	16.1	13.2	2.88	16.5	14.9	1.67
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-3	9	15.8	13.5	2.29	15.4	18.1	-2.72
Brandon Knight	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	2	-1	15.5	14.5	0.96	15.4	18.5	-3.16
Jerryd Bayless	46	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	-1	5	14.6	16.0	-1.46	15.9	16.1	-0.24
O.J. Mayo	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	8	-13	15.6	14.9	0.63	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Jorge Gutierrez	19	19	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	1	1	14.5	15.5	-0.96	18.5	15.4	3.16
John Henson	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	16.0	14.6	1.36	16.7	15.3	1.40
Jared Dudley	47	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	14.1	16.5	-2.35	16.7	15.3	1.40
Ersan Ilyasova	37	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.09	-3	6	-9	14.0	16.2	-2.17	15.0	16.7	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.66,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.93,1	92.9%
NYK 93, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.84,1	92.7%
WAS 86, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	92.6%