NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	7.4 [339]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +40.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	2.1 [784]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -20.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	6	100%	0.28	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	15	73%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	16	53%	0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	48%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	16	43%	-0.12	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.21	0.00	23	69%	0.42	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	16	59%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	7	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	16	43%	-0.16	2	-0.04	15	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	25.6	15.0	27.0	1.5	36.0	131.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.1%

IND -4.7%

MIL +11.4%

MIL +5.7%

IND -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.3	15.6	111.1	119.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.3		101.6	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	19.8	14.6	14.9	16.0
MIL	16.1	15.2	16.0	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	8.0	16.1	-8.13	0.0	16.5	-16.51
Jonathan Bender	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-8	11	14.5	17.2	-2.72	15.4	17.0	-1.67
Carlos Rogers	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	0	-5	20.7	14.8	5.88	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Jamaal Tinsley	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	17.8	14.4	3.43	16.5	16.1	0.39
Primoz Brezec	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	18.0	15.1	2.88	16.6	16.2	0.43
Jeff Foster	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-3	1	16.0	16.1	-0.06	16.7	15.2	1.45
Travis Best	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-4	3	14.5	17.6	-3.07	16.5	16.1	0.35
Reggie Miller	69	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	16.3	15.1	1.18	16.9	14.5	2.36
Jalen Rose	67	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	1	-7	14.8	19.6	-4.79	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Al Harrington	70	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-4	3	15.7	17.1	-1.42	16.6	15.3	1.32

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	63	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-12	29	17.0	14.6	2.40	18.0	11.6	6.41
Ray Allen	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	16.6	14.8	1.82	16.5	13.7	2.85
Ervin Johnson	51	52	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-3	11	16.0	16.8	-0.85	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Anthony Mason	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	7	-9	16.5	15.4	1.15	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Sam Cassell	72	74	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	16.3	16.5	-0.22	15.3	19.5	-4.20
Michael Redd	32	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	3	-1	15.8	16.6	-0.75	15.4	16.4	-1.06
Joel Przybilla	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	16.6	16.2	0.34	17.3	15.5	1.84
Jason Caffey	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	22.5	16.2	6.33	22.5	15.9	6.60
Darvin Ham	47	49	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	15.0	17.8	-2.83	14.2	18.2	-4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.89,1,1	93.2%
NJN 77, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.1%
NJN 95, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1	92.8%