NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	137		Excitement	1.7 [581]		MVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): +25.2%
Utah Jazz	128		Comeback	1.5 [767]		LVP	Javon Small (MEM): -8.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.06	0.04	21	76%	0.33	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.00
GG Jackson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	9	90%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jock Landale	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	61%	0.15	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Jaylen Wells	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	62%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Christian Koloko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jahmai Mashack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javon Small	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	10	84%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Keyonte George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.01	12	73%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.07	15	66%	0.10	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	6	62%	0.09	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	0.0	27.9	0.0	26.4	0.0	38.8	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +62.6%

UTA -13.4%

MEM +6.9%

UTA -7.6%

MEM +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	14.0	14.2	128.0	120.8	113.4
season	13.8	13.9		111.4	111.5
opponent	13.6	14.2		119.6	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.4	12.1	11.7	16.1	13.0
UTA	13.2	16.0	13.1	13.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javon Small	86	85	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-6	21	13.3	11.6	1.78	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Jock Landale	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-7	23	13.6	11.5	2.13	15.3	10.8	4.52
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-6	21	12.6	13.9	-1.25	13.6	15.0	-1.43
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.0	16.0	-3.03	14.1	5.0	9.10
Christian Koloko	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-4	17	12.3	14.2	-1.84	13.4	15.2	-1.77
Jaren Jackson Jr.	104	104	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	13.0	12.3	0.69	14.1	7.0	7.14
GG Jackson	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	14.1	11.7	2.34	15.0	12.8	2.26
Santi Aldama	95	94	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	13.2	11.7	1.50	14.7	8.8	5.84
Jaylen Wells	88	87	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	13.4	11.0	2.43	15.0	9.6	5.40
Cam Spencer	80	79	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	13.6	11.1	2.53	14.9	11.4	3.54
Jahmai Mashack	24	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	8	-7	16.1	12.1	4.03	14.2	14.0	0.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Williams	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.5	13.5	1.98	14.7	12.4	2.33
Svi Mykhailiuk	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.2	11.7	3.55	13.1	12.9	0.17
Walter Clayton Jr.	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	15.2	12.6	2.62	13.8	12.0	1.82
Keyonte George	90	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	14.8	9.5	5.31	13.5	10.5	2.94
Kyle Filipowski	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	14.9	9.8	5.03	13.5	10.7	2.74
Kevin Love	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	3	-15	14.6	12.1	2.47	12.2	15.7	-3.55
Brice Sensabaugh	63	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	13.9	14.2	-0.38	12.7	13.4	-0.71
Isaiah Collier	106	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.0	0.0	14.01	13.0	0.0	13.00
Ace Bailey	89	90	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.24	-15	6	-21	13.6	16.0	-2.37	13.4	10.8	2.59
Taylor Hendricks	88	89	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.18	-21	12	-33	14.3	12.7	1.62	12.9	13.4	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.25,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
PHX 108, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
OKC 96, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%