NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	1.5 [723]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +18.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.2 [933]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -24.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	9	81%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	14	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	63%	0.11	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Zabian Dowdell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garret Siler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.03	5	108%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	13	35%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	38%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.10	0.07	23	48%	-0.08	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	2.4	29.4	15.6	24.3	1.7	27.4	120.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.6%

MIN -4.4%

MIN -6.5%

PHX +6.6%

PHX +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	15.5	109.1	100.0	105.7
season	14.5	14.3		108.0	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	14.2	14.4	19.5	15.0
MIN	15.6	12.0	14.4	15.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	4	2	15.5	14.1	1.45	13.5	15.5	-1.99
Marcin Gortat	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	4	2	15.0	14.9	0.10	14.8	13.3	1.47
Vince Carter	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.36	13.4	15.2	-1.83
Steve Nash	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	3	4	13.9	15.9	-2.03	15.8	13.0	2.77
Josh Childress	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	6	-2	15.5	14.1	1.42	13.0	16.2	-3.11
Grant Hill	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	4	2	14.1	15.5	-1.42	16.2	13.0	3.11
Aaron Brooks	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	7	-4	15.9	13.9	2.03	13.0	15.8	-2.77
Jared Dudley	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	5	0	14.1	15.7	-1.60	15.4	13.3	2.07
Robin Lopez	11	11	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	7	-4	18.1	14.6	3.50	16.0	14.0	1.97
Channing Frye	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	5	0	13.8	16.5	-2.68	14.4	14.1	0.23
Garret Siler	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	10	-10	13.8	15.0	-1.24	11.5	14.4	-2.87
Zabian Dowdell	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	23.0	14.5	8.54	13.2	14.3	-1.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	65	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-12	14	14.6	13.6	1.02	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Darko Milicic	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-5	0	17.0	13.5	3.43	12.6	15.6	-3.01
Nikola Pekovic	38	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-9	8	14.3	14.2	0.14	16.5	14.1	2.35
Martell Webster	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	13.3	15.4	-2.07	15.7	14.1	1.61
Anthony Tolliver	79	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	14.3	14.2	0.12	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Anthony Randolph	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.2	15.8	-2.61	15.5	14.2	1.35
Michael Beasley	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.4	17.7	-3.30
Wesley Johnson	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.2	12.9	2.30	15.1	14.8	0.22
Jonny Flynn	33	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	2	-14	13.6	14.6	-1.02	15.3	14.8	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0	93.6%
SAS 106, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
HOU 103, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.1%