inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 132 Excitement1.6 [635] MVPDonovan Mitchell (CLE): +29.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 139 Comeback1.8 [975] LVPJaylon Tyson (CLE): -16.4%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMelo Ball0.130,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.030.021670%0.203-0.071100%0.01
Kon Knueppel0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.000.021180%0.133-0.053100%0.01
Brandon Miller0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.00-0.011369%0.163-0.07367%-0.01
Josh Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.000.034100%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Pat Connaughton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Liam McNeeley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06387%0.0000.002100%0.00
Sion James-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01550%0.001-0.01475%0.00
Tidjane Salaün-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Moussa Diabaté-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03636%0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00456%0.013-0.051100%0.00
Tre Mann-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.031350%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Miles Bridges-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.051449%-0.041-0.02771%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.190.110.011875%0.363-0.074100%0.02
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.200.050.021387%0.292-0.065100%0.04
Darius Garland0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.160.040.021579%0.253-0.074100%0.01
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.050.005100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Dean Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.13-0.000.07787%0.0700.002100%0.00
Jarrett Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.024100%0.082-0.034100%0.01
Nae'Qwan Tomlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyrese Proctor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Craig Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00560%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Sam Merrill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaylon Tyson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.04-0.0260%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.10.129.514.437.10.235.4146.9
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +62.8%
CHA -1.1%
CHA -25.6%
CLE +9.6%
CLE +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHACLENBACHACLENBA
this game14.713.214.2128.2135.0113.4
season15.113.9116.9115.7
opponent14.614.1112.8112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.015.614.614.914.7
CLE11.613.212.515.713.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Connaughton2324-0.15-0.350.19-0.212-91114.914.70.2115.712.43.29
Liam McNeeley2324-0.15-0.350.19-0.212-91114.914.70.2115.712.43.29
Mason Plumlee2322-0.16-0.340.180.13-103-1315.914.41.4411.113.7-2.60
LaMelo Ball6364-0.19-0.310.120.01-70-714.914.40.4912.214.8-2.59
Kon Knueppel8281-0.21-0.290.090.12-114-1514.714.9-0.2012.515.9-3.41
Miles Bridges7977-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-147-2114.515.5-0.9312.515.2-2.74
Moussa Diabaté9292-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-136-1914.516.7-2.2212.816.2-3.36
Tidjane Salaün102102-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-4-3-114.90.014.8913.27.06.25
Tre Mann9798-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-5-2-314.813.71.1513.49.63.77
Sion James9190-0.45-0.05-0.410.07-1811-2914.714.7-0.0012.815.9-3.13
Josh Green99100-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-92-1114.814.50.2613.213.00.19
Brandon Miller7676-0.550.05-0.610.15-2417-4114.914.30.5612.714.7-2.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Garland82810.61-0.110.730.0619-123112.814.6-1.8015.013.61.41
Sam Merrill98980.500.000.500.0914-72112.819.8-6.9514.715.2-0.48
Donovan Mitchell98980.500.000.500.0914-72112.819.8-6.9514.715.2-0.48
De'Andre Hunter86870.450.050.410.1012-51712.516.6-4.1514.615.6-0.96
Dean Wade66630.430.070.35-0.0416-92512.813.8-0.9815.513.52.04
Lonzo Ball81820.330.170.160.1270712.914.4-1.5014.515.7-1.21
Jarrett Allen60590.310.190.110.0110-31312.614.0-1.3614.914.50.39
Nae'Qwan Tomlin30290.240.26-0.030.008-1914.612.61.9514.814.70.11
Jaylon Tyson79780.230.27-0.040.2016-513.113.6-0.5215.213.41.78
Thomas Bryant83830.180.32-0.150.35-613-1913.113.7-0.6414.416.3-1.93
Craig Porter Jr.24230.150.35-0.190.21-29-1115.712.43.2914.914.70.21
Tyrese Proctor24230.150.35-0.190.21-29-1115.712.43.2914.914.70.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 85, LAL 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
WAS 79, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.6%
IND 97, DET 1140.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.1%