NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	5.4 [768]		MVP	Al Jefferson (IND): +17.7%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	2.6 [789]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -16.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.02	10	76%	0.18	1	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	16	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
TJ Leaf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	21	46%	-0.03	6	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	19	57%	0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	82%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.03	0.06	10	72%	0.09	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	7	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.0	14.7	29.6	1.8	30.2	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +43.0%

DET +1.8%

DET +9.2%

IND -4.3%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	14.7	97.0	110.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	15.2	15.2	11.6	14.7
DET	13.6	12.0	13.6	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Leaf	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-9	1	16.2	14.4	1.76	12.1	14.0	-1.90
Darren Collison	60	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-12	7	15.9	12.8	3.08	13.1	14.5	-1.41
Al Jefferson	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-13	9	16.0	13.6	2.41	12.6	14.6	-1.93
Lance Stephenson	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-14	11	15.3	14.1	1.21	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Thaddeus Young	72	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-11	5	14.4	15.5	-1.06	14.2	12.2	2.03
Cory Joseph	62	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	13.9	16.0	-2.14	13.7	13.7	-0.06
Myles Turner	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-4	-9	13.6	16.0	-2.41	14.6	12.6	1.93
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	0	-17	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.0	13.2	0.80
Victor Oladipo	78	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	3	-23	14.4	15.8	-1.38	14.1	12.1	2.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	74	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.11	28	-11	39	13.8	13.4	0.38	14.1	16.4	-2.39
Langston Galloway	50	46	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	4	9	12.4	14.9	-2.47	14.8	14.6	0.27
Reggie Jackson	58	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-2	21	14.1	13.2	0.91	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Anthony Tolliver	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	4	9	13.4	13.8	-0.43	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Avery Bradley	63	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	3	11	13.7	13.6	0.15	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Reggie Bullock	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	8	1	14.5	12.0	2.53	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Tobias Harris	72	69	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	13	-9	13.8	13.4	0.43	14.9	14.3	0.64
Ish Smith	45	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	19	-21	13.2	14.1	-0.91	15.0	14.4	0.63
Luke Kennard	23	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	19	-21	13.8	13.6	0.18	17.6	13.8	3.79
Boban Marjanovic	19	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	21	-25	12.1	14.1	-2.01	15.8	14.5	1.28
Eric Moreland	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	24	-31	16.0	13.4	2.56	17.6	14.4	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NOP 89, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 77, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	94.0%