NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	106		Excitement	6.7 [326]		MVP	Kel'el Ware (MIA): +22.5%
Brooklyn Nets	95		Comeback	1.3 [616]		LVP	Tyrese Martin (BKN): -15.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kel'el Ware	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.09	0.04	11	79%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	14	71%	0.19	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	13	73%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Davion Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	13	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Dru Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	8	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	80%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.03	0.05	24	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Egor D�min	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	18	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Danny Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	13	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	0.0	24.2	0.0	27.2	0.0	39.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +42.7%

MIA +2.0%

MIA +6.4%

BKN -0.2%

BKN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	14.2	105.0	95.0	113.5
season	12.8	14.9		113.3	109.1
opponent	14.3	14.5		116.4	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.7	12.1	13.6	14.7	13.5
BKN	14.9	15.2	15.8	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davion Mitchell	87	86	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.12	16	-5	21	13.6	12.8	0.79	15.4	13.4	2.08
Dru Smith	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-2	15	14.1	11.0	3.05	15.5	13.6	1.94
Norman Powell	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-4	19	13.4	13.6	-0.11	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.5	0.0	13.47	15.1	0.0	15.15
Andrew Wiggins	88	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	13.7	12.1	1.59	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Kel'el Ware	90	90	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	4	3	13.9	10.1	3.79	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Simone Fontecchio	81	79	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	14.0	11.1	2.95	15.5	13.9	1.64
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	7	-3	13.8	13.3	0.46	15.2	15.1	0.11
Bam Adebayo	83	82	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	12	-13	13.9	11.4	2.53	15.7	12.6	3.16

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Wilson	76	78	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	15.5	14.0	1.51	13.7	12.7	0.94
Danny Wolf	82	85	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-11	11	15.7	12.6	3.16	13.7	12.2	1.52
Tyrese Martin	82	85	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-11	11	15.7	12.6	3.16	13.7	12.2	1.52
Terance Mann	69	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-8	5	15.2	14.9	0.31	13.9	12.4	1.52
Day'Ron Sharpe	61	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-8	5	15.7	14.3	1.34	14.2	12.2	2.05
Drake Powell	18	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-1	-9	15.7	15.0	0.63	14.2	13.3	0.93
Ziaire Williams	86	88	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-7	3	15.6	12.1	3.50	13.5	12.9	0.62
Noah Clowney	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.0	15.6	-0.64	13.7	12.9	0.81
Michael Porter Jr.	91	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	15.3	13.8	1.51	13.8	10.8	2.96
Egor D�min	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	1	-13	15.3	14.7	0.59	13.4	13.6	-0.11
Nic Claxton	88	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	15.0	16.2	-1.16	13.7	12.1	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.16,0	94.2%
LAL 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
CHA 108, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	92.8%