NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.9 [118]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +15.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.4 [188]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -25.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	24	59%	0.24	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Gabe Vincent	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	31%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Austin Reaves	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	14	48%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Max Christie	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	10	42%	-0.06	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.10

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.11	0.01	19	46%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.09	0.09	0.17	-0.05	0.04	17	82%	0.22	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Isaac Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.08	-0.02	14	25%	-0.12	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.5	26.5	14.8	24.2	2.4	32.3	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.6%

SAC -9.2%

LAL +18.2%

LAL +9.6%

SAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	14.3	105.1	101.0	111.8
season	14.8	13.8		111.2	113.3
opponent	15.0	14.1		112.4	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	14.4	15.1	19.5	15.4
SAC	13.4	14.4	14.9	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	82	79	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-6	16	14.7	19.1	-4.45	14.4	12.4	1.95
Austin Reaves	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-6	16	15.0	16.6	-1.62	14.4	12.8	1.59
D'Angelo Russell	58	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	17.1	12.9	4.22	13.8	14.2	-0.40
LeBron James	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-6	16	15.1	16.0	-0.90	14.1	13.7	0.44
Anthony Davis	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	6	-8	15.8	14.2	1.63	14.4	12.7	1.75
Cam Reddish	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	4	-4	16.2	14.7	1.51	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Max Christie	40	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	1	2	12.9	17.1	-4.22	14.2	13.8	0.40
Gabe Vincent	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	8	-12	16.3	15.0	1.31	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Christian Koloko	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	6	-8	16.1	15.3	0.80	10.7	14.3	-3.53
Dalton Knecht	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	10	-16	16.2	15.3	0.89	11.2	14.3	-3.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	71	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-9	14	14.6	12.4	2.18	15.5	15.2	0.23
DeMar DeRozan	74	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-10	16	14.4	12.7	1.75	15.6	14.7	0.86
Alex Len	1	0	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-2	0	4.0	14.1	-10.09	0.0	15.4	-15.40
Kevin Huerter	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	13.6	14.4	-0.76	15.7	15.1	0.56
Isaac Jones	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	12.9	14.3	-1.41	15.5	15.4	0.16
Keon Ellis	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.3	14.3	-0.97	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Keegan Murray	56	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-2	0	13.4	14.8	-1.35	16.6	14.0	2.58
Domantas Sabonis	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-4	4	14.3	12.9	1.41	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Trey Lyles	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	5	-14	14.5	13.7	0.88	13.7	16.4	-2.65
De'Aaron Fox	77	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	7	-18	13.8	14.7	-0.86	15.2	16.3	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, NYK 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.03,0.15,0	92.7%
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	92.6%
MIN 119, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.5%