NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	6.7 [446]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +6.9%
New York Knicks	77		Comeback	1.4 [461]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -44.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	15	53%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.07
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.15	5	-0.14	9	100%	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	7	25%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	9	83%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	9	33%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.45	-0.45	-0.18	-0.29	-0.02	26	32%	-0.37	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.3	15.4	26.5	2.5	40.4	132.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +62.6%

POR +1.8%

POR +0.1%

NYK -17.4%

POR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.6	95.3	88.5	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		101.9	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.4		98.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	19.4	17.0	16.2	16.7
NYK	19.3	14.2	18.1	15.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-1	7	15.8	22.5	-6.64	16.6	16.7	-0.11
Isaiah Rider	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	16.2	18.7	-2.49	16.8	16.1	0.71
Brian Grant	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-3	11	16.3	17.8	-1.45	17.4	14.4	2.99
Rick Brunson	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	0	5	15.6	19.2	-3.63	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Arvydas Sabonis	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-1	7	16.6	16.7	-0.08	17.9	13.8	4.14
Stacey Augmon	48	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	18.0	14.9	3.12	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Walt Williams	17	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	4	-3	17.8	16.4	1.45	14.5	17.2	-2.69
John Crotty	25	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	19.2	15.6	3.63	16.7	16.6	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	21.0	16.2	4.78	11.8	17.2	-5.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-7	9	18.3	15.5	2.81	17.7	15.9	1.77
Anthony Bowie	10	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	4	-13	25.0	15.5	9.45	12.2	17.2	-4.96
Chris Childs	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	16.4	16.7	-0.30	18.7	15.9	2.78
Herb Williams	22	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.8	-0.54	17.2	16.5	0.77
John Starks	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.0	19.0	-3.99	17.4	15.6	1.76
Charlie Ward	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-3	1	16.7	16.4	0.30	15.9	18.7	-2.78
Charles Oakley	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	16.2	19.3	-3.15	16.3	18.8	-2.48
Larry Johnson	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	17.0	14.9	2.03	16.3	18.5	-2.21
Allan Houston	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	16.2	26.2	-10.08	16.7	14.7	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.03,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.05,0,0	92.9%
TOR 112, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	92.9%
UTA 95, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.9%