NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	114		Excitement	7.2 [400]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +36.5%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.7 [305]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -10.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.25	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.13	-0.02	13	65%	0.26	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.01	0.13	-0.03	20	50%	0.25	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.03	12	54%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.02	-0.04	11	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	10	82%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	86%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.20	0.16	-0.00	15	87%	0.41	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.01	17	61%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.4	15.3	23.5	2.7	27.2	126.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.3%

CHA +25.7%

CHA +6.8%

CHA +2.0%

PHX -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.7	14.9	15.5	129.5	120.2	105.7
season	16.2	14.5		102.3	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	20.2	16.3	20.6	17.7
PHX	12.9	15.0	15.7	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	68	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	16.7	20.9	-4.23	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Stephen Jackson	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-1	9	17.7	17.7	-0.02	15.2	12.7	2.45
Gerald Henderson	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	18.7	15.5	3.23	15.1	14.4	0.72
D.J. Augustin	63	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-4	15	16.7	20.1	-3.41	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Gerald Wallace	75	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	17.8	17.1	0.71	15.5	11.2	4.29
Nazr Mohammed	10	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	20.9	17.3	3.63	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Eduardo Najera	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	7	-7	18.1	17.6	0.50	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Shaun Livingston	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	19.6	16.7	2.89	16.1	14.3	1.77
Kwame Brown	51	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	13	-19	17.0	18.6	-1.67	14.7	15.0	-0.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	30	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-12	17	14.7	15.0	-0.27	15.8	18.7	-2.90
Hakim Warrick	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.08	-1	-6	5	15.2	14.8	0.35	20.5	17.3	3.27
Grant Hill	56	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	14.4	15.6	-1.16	16.7	19.3	-2.61
Vince Carter	63	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	14.6	15.5	-0.83	17.8	17.4	0.34
Goran Dragic	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	16.1	14.1	2.09	20.4	16.0	4.35
Marcin Gortat	54	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	4	-15	14.4	15.5	-1.10	18.8	16.1	2.67
Steve Nash	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	14.3	16.7	-2.42	17.0	19.9	-2.94
Channing Frye	65	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	3	-13	15.2	14.1	1.09	16.1	22.3	-6.18
Jared Dudley	62	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	3	-13	15.5	13.4	2.06	18.9	15.1	3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, NYK 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.03,0.15,0	92.9%
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.8%
MEM 96, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.08,0	92.8%