inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 126 Excitement6.5 [243] MVPJalen Johnson (ATL): +25.2%
Charlotte Hornets 133 Comeback1.0 [216] LVPZaccharie Risacher (ATL): -8.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Johnson0.250,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.250.220.100.072770%0.374-0.127100%0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.15-0.060.051874%0.113-0.072100%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vít Krej?í0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01362%0.0100.002100%0.00
Asa Newell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00267%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Dyson Daniels-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0-0.010.01-0.011250%0.052-0.05450%-0.02
Trae Young-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03844%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.09-0.011055%0.031-0.102100%0.01
Zaccharie Risacher-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.01733%-0.041-0.051100%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kon Knueppel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.040.011778%0.294-0.112100%0.00
LaMelo Ball0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.160.160.140.060.041687%0.336-0.1700%0.00
Brandon Miller0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.140.140.18-0.020.021574%0.151-0.01580%-0.01
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.03-0.011357%0.1200.002100%0.01
Tidjane Salaün0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01683%0.0900.0000%0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.02557%0.051-0.01450%-0.03
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Moussa Diabaté0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01442%-0.0200.00425%-0.04
KJ Simpson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02729%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.00.130.10.144.00.131.8129.1
league avg26.32.128.914.529.52.332.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +50.1%
ATL -10.7%
ATL -0.9%
CHA +7.8%
CHA +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHANBAATLCHANBA
this game12.115.214.1120.0125.5113.9
season13.214.6114.3113.5
opponent14.014.4116.4114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.312.112.311.712.1
CHA15.312.816.316.715.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Gueye4142-0.22-0.280.050.01-81-912.012.1-0.1315.614.90.70
Asa Newell2625-0.25-0.25-0.000.10-125-1712.412.00.4612.316.1-3.78
Zaccharie Risacher6163-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-1710-2712.311.70.6015.315.00.32
Trae Young6667-0.42-0.08-0.340.05-169-2512.211.90.2414.216.9-2.73
Nickeil Alexander-Walker105106-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-712.10.012.0815.20.015.17
Dyson Daniels9695-0.510.01-0.51-0.21-103-1312.39.92.3915.512.13.44
Onyeka Okongwu9191-0.510.01-0.52-0.16-125-1712.012.4-0.4115.016.1-1.04
Luke Kennard6464-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-169-2512.511.50.9715.514.70.83
Jalen Johnson100100-0.530.03-0.55-0.23-103-1312.210.21.9715.215.20.00
Vít Krej?í8486-0.560.06-0.61-0.18-136-1912.112.00.0415.712.92.74

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Bridges89890.60-0.100.700.1017-102715.513.32.2312.112.00.09
KJ Simpson76750.52-0.020.54-0.0419-123114.915.8-0.8812.311.50.85
LaMelo Ball93910.50-0.000.500.2110-31315.413.81.6012.59.52.97
Brandon Miller1061050.500.000.500.2970715.20.015.1712.10.012.08
Kon Knueppel85850.490.010.480.1711-41514.916.2-1.3312.012.2-0.21
Sion James95930.460.040.420.1710-31315.115.4-0.2212.211.21.03
Josh Green73730.360.140.23-0.0514-72115.813.72.1412.211.80.33
Tidjane Salaün87860.330.170.170.0111-41515.115.4-0.3112.112.1-0.04
Ryan Kalkbrenner92890.170.33-0.160.0834-115.214.70.5212.410.32.08
Moussa Diabaté101980.150.35-0.200.1216-515.215.4-0.2412.38.93.45
Mason Plumlee17150.100.40-0.300.0134-116.115.01.1311.512.2-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, DET 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.83,1,193.6%
SEA 104, UTA 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.59,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.99,193.3%
IND 111, TOR 1220.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.94,1,193.1%