NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	5.0 [782]		MVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): +16.8%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [793]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -15.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.16	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Dale Ellis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	3	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	13	38%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	0.05	15	55%	-0.01	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	11	78%	0.21	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	14	70%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	64%	0.08	1	-0.06	12	75%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	61.3	2.5	27.6	15.0	28.3	1.0	36.2	172.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +48.7%

SEA -3.7%

UTA +7.1%

SEA -5.7%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	17.4	15.6	118.2	123.6	102.5
season	15.3	15.9		109.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	16.2		102.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	14.1	16.2	14.4	15.1
UTA	16.7	17.2	21.7	15.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	22	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	14.1	15.4	-1.29	17.4	17.4	-0.05
Aaron Williams	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.41	17.3	17.5	-0.21
Jim McIlvaine	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.1	0.15	20.0	16.2	3.87
Hersey Hawkins	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-5	4	15.2	15.0	0.16	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Jerome Kersey	38	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	3	-12	14.4	15.6	-1.15	16.7	18.0	-1.37
Dale Ellis	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	14.7	15.5	-0.82	16.0	19.1	-3.10
Sam Perkins	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.5	1.57	18.0	17.0	1.01
Vin Baker	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-8	10	15.0	15.7	-0.73	17.6	16.5	1.04
Detlef Schrempf	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	15.4	14.4	1.00	17.4	17.5	-0.13
Gary Payton	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	1	-8	15.4	14.1	1.29	17.4	17.4	0.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-5	16	16.9	18.4	-1.51	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Karl Malone	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	17.7	16.1	1.66	14.8	16.4	-1.63
Greg Foster	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-8	22	18.6	16.5	2.02	16.1	14.3	1.70
Howard Eisley	40	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	0	6	18.7	16.3	2.40	16.7	13.7	2.96
Adam Keefe	39	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-2	10	19.4	15.9	3.44	16.1	14.3	1.83
Bryon Russell	50	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	8	-10	15.9	19.4	-3.44	14.3	16.1	-1.83
Antoine Carr	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	15.1	19.0	-3.84	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Jacque Vaughn	49	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	6	-6	16.3	18.7	-2.40	13.7	16.7	-2.96
Shandon Anderson	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	18.4	16.9	1.51	15.5	14.9	0.62
Greg Ostertag	30	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	13	-20	18.0	17.2	0.81	14.7	15.3	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.59,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.2%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.8%
CHA 76, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%