NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	76		Excitement	4.5 [934]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +16.4%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	1.0 [1051]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -13.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	18	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	15	26%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.01	8	87%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	17	38%	-0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	28.4	14.7	21.8	1.6	30.6	121.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +59.1%

CHA -2.6%

ATL +5.6%

CHA -15.7%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	14.9	85.4	97.8	105.1
season	15.1	14.2		105.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		100.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.2	16.0	17.2	18.9	17.3
ATL	12.8	17.5	13.3	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	38	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-13	15	17.0	17.5	-0.44	16.2	14.3	1.83
Frank Kaminsky	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	16.6	17.7	-1.07	16.2	14.4	1.80
Cody Zeller	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	16.0	18.4	-2.34	16.5	13.7	2.82
Courtney Lee	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	17.4	17.2	0.22	13.5	16.5	-2.99
Al Jefferson	45	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	18.7	15.8	2.85	13.3	16.7	-3.44
Jeremy Lin	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-1	-9	18.4	16.5	1.90	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Nicolas Batum	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	17.0	18.6	-1.60	15.9	11.6	4.24
Marvin Williams	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	17.5	16.9	0.53	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Kemba Walker	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	17.1	18.4	-1.31	14.7	17.6	-2.92

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	46	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.07	20	-9	29	14.3	15.8	-1.51	18.7	15.8	2.93
Mike Scott	46	47	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-3	17	13.9	16.3	-2.37	17.9	16.6	1.25
Kent Bazemore	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	7	-3	15.5	14.2	1.28	17.1	17.7	-0.68
Jeff Teague	62	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	7	-3	15.5	14.2	1.28	16.9	18.1	-1.17
Al Horford	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	9	-7	15.1	15.0	0.07	16.7	18.3	-1.55
Mike Muscala	24	22	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	4	3	14.1	15.4	-1.36	19.8	16.4	3.37
Dennis Schroder	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	4	3	14.2	15.5	-1.28	17.7	17.1	0.68
Thabo Sefolosha	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	8	-5	14.9	15.1	-0.22	18.0	16.9	1.03
Kyle Korver	42	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	16	-21	15.4	14.8	0.62	15.8	18.6	-2.83
Paul Millsap	51	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	12	-13	16.5	13.1	3.44	16.3	18.7	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.98,1,1	93.7%
SEA 104, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.59,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.6%
VAN 87, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%