NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	4.4 [923]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (ATL): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	Damon Jones (MIL): -10.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	16	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	9	48%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	9	25%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	86%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	15	50%	0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	19	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	12	58%	0.00	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	34.0	15.0	20.6	1.8	33.3	130.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.6%

MIL -9.9%

MIL -4.3%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.7	89.2	100.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		103.6	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.5	15.6	16.0	14.7	15.9
ATL	14.4	12.7	15.3	18.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Haislip	27	26	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.29	15	-25	40	16.5	15.7	0.75	18.0	13.9	4.19
Erick Strickland	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	16.5	15.8	0.62	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-16	22	13.7	17.1	-3.44	16.8	14.1	2.73
Desmond Mason	52	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-10	10	15.3	16.8	-1.49	15.6	14.3	1.39
Toni Kukoc	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-10	10	14.8	17.0	-2.23	16.2	14.0	2.25
Damon Jones	47	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.9	14.1	1.76
T.J. Ford	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	17.0	15.0	2.00	14.1	15.9	-1.76
Joe Smith	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	17.0	14.8	2.23	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Tim Thomas	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	16.8	15.3	1.49	14.3	15.6	-1.39
Brian Skinner	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	8	-26	17.6	14.3	3.25	14.2	15.9	-1.77
Michael Redd	65	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	10	-30	15.6	16.9	-1.30	13.8	17.6	-3.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	69	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.03	17	-7	24	14.5	16.6	-2.11	15.7	16.7	-1.06
Jason Terry	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-3	16	14.7	17.2	-2.45	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Stephen Jackson	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	15.0	15.1	-0.05	15.2	19.3	-4.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	15.3	13.5	1.79	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Boris Diaw	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-2	14	15.0	15.1	-0.06	17.3	13.5	3.82
Chris Crawford	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	13.4	15.3	-1.84	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Jacque Vaughn	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	10	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.22	18.3	15.3	3.02
Dion Glover	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	16	-22	15.7	14.5	1.17	14.9	16.8	-1.99
Nazr Mohammed	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	17	-24	16.6	14.5	2.11	16.7	15.7	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	95.0%
MIN 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	94.7%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.0%