NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	5.0 [325]		MVP	Ochai Agbaji (TOR): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors	122		Comeback	1.0 [241]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	10	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.18	-0.03	0.08	16	77%	0.12	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Enrique Freeman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	13	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	16	49%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	93%	0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	74%	0.13	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	66%	0.10	5	-0.04	12	75%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	20	73%	0.16	7	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	9	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.4	31.4	14.5	26.3	1.7	35.3	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.0%

IND -7.2%

TOR +3.5%

TOR +6.1%

IND -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	12.8	13.8	14.3	102.8	113.0	112.0
season	13.8	13.8		112.8	109.1
opponent	14.7	14.6		116.3	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	13.2	13.5	12.7	12.8
TOR	12.8	15.1	13.2	14.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	34	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.34	17	-28	45	10.5	13.9	-3.42	13.9	13.8	0.10
Enrique Freeman	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-11	11	14.3	12.7	1.54	11.9	14.0	-2.10
Moses Brown	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-4	-3	13.2	12.8	0.44	14.3	13.8	0.49
T.J. McConnell	56	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-8	5	11.6	14.2	-2.64	13.6	14.1	-0.48
Bennedict Mathurin	81	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	13.4	11.2	2.16	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Myles Turner	84	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	13.2	11.7	1.51	14.2	12.5	1.76
Tyrese Haliburton	85	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-8	5	13.3	11.2	2.12	14.5	11.2	3.37
Jarace Walker	60	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	13.2	12.4	0.88	13.1	14.6	-1.52
Andrew Nembhard	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	7	-25	12.2	13.3	-1.08	13.7	13.9	-0.25
Pascal Siakam	81	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.05	-22	11	-33	13.2	11.7	1.57	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	82	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-7	25	12.9	16.6	-3.68	13.2	11.6	1.57
Jakob Poeltl	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.06	18	-7	25	13.8	13.8	0.04	13.2	11.8	1.39
RJ Barrett	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	14.2	12.7	1.50	13.2	11.8	1.43
Ochai Agbaji	79	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	14.1	13.1	0.94	13.2	12.0	1.17
Ja'Kobe Walter	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	-4	19	13.7	13.9	-0.23	14.9	11.8	3.15
Jamal Shead	22	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	3	5	13.7	13.9	-0.18	12.0	13.1	-1.03
Davion Mitchell	58	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	15	-19	14.9	12.6	2.28	12.0	13.8	-1.82
Jamison Battle	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	11	-11	13.5	13.9	-0.42	12.0	13.2	-1.15
Jonathan Mogbo	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	16	-21	13.5	14.0	-0.53	11.8	13.3	-1.50
Chris Boucher	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	17	-23	13.5	14.0	-0.42	11.1	13.7	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 87, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	95.0%
MIN 109, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.73,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%
CHA 90, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1	94.3%